Lina Gjorcheska vs Lucia Bronzetti — Wimbledon Qualifying Final

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Final
Lina Gjorcheska
MKD
Lina Gjorcheska
#223WTA
1482ELO
1427Grass ELO
31 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLLWLWWL
—
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
grass
Lucia Bronzetti
ITA
Lucia Bronzetti
#127WTA
1594ELO
1471Grass ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWWWLWW
Gjorcheska L.
vs
Bronzetti L.

Lina Gjorcheska faces Lucia Bronzetti in the Wimbledon qualifying final on grass. Lucia Bronzetti holds the paper edge — ranked #127, defending last year's round of 64, a roughly 40-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC
Gjorcheska L.29%
Bronzetti L.71%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Bronzetti L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Gjorcheska L.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Bronzetti L.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.4Grass Elo 1427
Surface ELO
5.6+44 Grass Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1482
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1594
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
4.84 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Gjorcheska L.Stable
Bronzetti L.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

13 vs 25 matches

Statistics

This season
Gjorcheska L.Bronzetti L.
1st serve in·Even
64%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
37%
46%
Service points won·Even
53%
54%
Return points won·Even
45%
47%
Break points saved·Even
53%
51%
Aces / match·Even
2.1
1.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.8
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Gjorcheska L.serving65% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Bronzetti L.

Bronzetti L.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Gjorcheska L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Gjorcheska L.Bronzetti L.
Freshness·Clear edge
88
69

Gjorcheska L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Bronzetti L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
30°CClear
Wind 24 km/hHumidity 51%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw — qualifying

Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Timofeeva M.[1]
Osuigwe W.
6-16-4
Rus A.
Podrez V.
4-64-6
Monnet C.
Prozorova T.
2-64-6
Watson H.
Sherif M.[21]
6-26-2
Krueger A.[2]
Knutson G.
7-57-5
Hontama M.
Urhobo A.
7-666-3
Iatcenko P.
Romero Gormaz L.
6-06-3
Bai Z.
Zidansek T.[26]
6-27-5
Korneeva A.
Shubladze A.
2-67-626-3
Brancaccio N.
Lazaro Garcia A.
3-64-6
Riera J.
D. Britton
2-66-26-4
Crawley F.
Sakatsume H.[19]
7-54-67-68
Wang X.
Guo H.
7-646-3
Radivojevic L.
Bassols Ribera M.
7-6102-66-77
Dolehide C.
Montgomery R.
4-66-71
Mcdonald E.
Kalieva E.[31]
6-36-744-6
Volynets K.[5]
Samson L.
7-656-1
Miyazaki Y.
Yaneva E.
2-64-6
Gorgodze E.
Valdmannova V.
6-27-62
You X.
Jeanjean L.[23]
6-42-63-6
Semenistaja D.[6]
Siskova A.
7-621-67-5
Hon P.
Hibino N.
2-62-6
Lepchenko V.
Gasanova A.
6-21-66-710
Fruhvirtova L.
Jones E.[29]
2-61-6
Quevedo K.[7]
Ishii S.
6-06-3
Papamichail D.
Liu C.
2-61-6
Tubello A.
Pridankina E.
2-60-6
Rajecki A.
Lamens S.[27]
3-65-7
Uchijima M.
Adeshina E.
1-66-35-7
Tan H.
Pohankova M.
7-632-66-1
Naef C.
Garland J.
6-35-74-6
Grant T.
Preston T.[18]
6-12-66-4
Sun L.[9]
Klimovicova L.
7-637-5
Pigossi L.
Dodin O.
5-74-6
Koevermans A.
Sawangkaew M.
3-66-14-6
Cross K.
Stoiana M.[25]
3-64-6
Galfi D.[10]
Jorge F.
6-753-6
Fita Boluda A.
Gjorcheska L.
2-64-6
Mikulskyte J.
Zhao C.
6-37-66
Inglis M.
Bronzetti L.[20]
3-66-34-6
Kudermetova P.[11]
Ponchet J.
1-66-26-3
Friedsam A.
Ngounoue C.
3-65-7
Rame A.
Uebelhoer C.
3-67-52-6
Mandlik E.
Charaeva A.[22]
2-64-6
Grabher J.[12]
Bolkvadze M.
4-66-76
Kinoshita H.
Tomova V.
7-56-3
Carle M.
Havlickova L.
7-55-76-4
Vandromme J.
Yuan Y.
4-66-06-2
Salkova D.[13]
Shymanovich I.
6-756-34-6
Minnen G.
Ferro F.
6-36-1
Sebov K.
Ortenzi J.
4-66-36-2
Noha Akugue N.
Pigato L.[28]
7-626-3
Kawa K.[14]
Bandecchi S.
6-16-3
Giovannini L.
Stefanini L.
6-766-75
Ma Y.
Andreeva E.
0-63-6
Brace C.
Day K.[32]
4-63-6
Sasnovich A.[15]
Dunne K.
1-66-36-2
S. Hunter
Costoulas S.
7-56-4
Andreescu B.
Hercog P.
6-46-2
Masarova R.
Teichmann J.[24]
6-724-6
Sramkova R.[16]
Hruncakova V.
7-657-63
Ku Y.
Kostovic T.
1-64-6
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
Lee C.
6-44-66-3
Barthel M.
Zhu L.[30]
4-63-6
Timofeeva M.
Podrez V.
6-46-2
Prozorova T.
Watson H.
7-53-65-7
Krueger A.
Hontama M.
6-35-76-3
Iatcenko P.
Bai Z.
7-676-2
Korneeva A.
Lazaro Garcia A.
6-26-757-5
Riera J.
Crawley F.
2-66-36-71
Wang X.
Bassols Ribera M.
6-31-60-4
Montgomery R.
Kalieva E.
6-26-2
Volynets K.
E. Yaneva
6-16-4
Gorgodze E.
Jeanjean L.
3-62-6
Semenistaja D.
Hibino N.
6-41-66-2
Gasanova A.
Jones E.[29]
5-76-46-3
Quevedo K.
Liu C.
4-64-6
Pridankina E.
Lamens S.
7-54-66-3
Adeshina E.
Tan H.
2-62-6
Garland J.
Grant T.
4-64-6
Sun L.
Dodin O.
6-7106-75
Sawangkaew M.
Stoiana M.
2-66-47-5
Jorge F.
Gjorcheska L.
7-52-61-6
Mikulskyte J.
Bronzetti L.
3-63-6
Kudermetova P.
Ngounoue C.
6-16-2
Uebelhoer C.
Charaeva A.
7-5 4-6 0-5
Bolkvadze M.
Kinoshita H.
6-36-2
Carle M.
Vandromme J.
7-614-63-6
Shymanovich I.
Minnen G.
6-46-2
Sebov K.
Noha Akugue N.
6-45-77-5
Kawa K.
Stefanini L.
6-42-66-2
Andreeva E.
Day K.
2-62-6
Sasnovich A.
S. Hunter
5-76-17-5
Andreescu B.
Teichmann J.[24]
6-746-16-4
Sramkova R.[16]
Kostovic T.
6-46-744-6
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
Zhu L.
2-63-6
Timofeeva M.
Watson H.
Krueger A.
Iatcenko P.
Korneeva A.
Crawley F.
Bassols Ribera M.
Montgomery R.
Volynets K.
Jeanjean L.
Semenistaja D.
Gasanova A.
Liu C.
Pridankina E.
Tan H.
Grant T.
Dodin O.
Sawangkaew M.
Gjorcheska L.
Bronzetti L.
Kudermetova P.
—
Bolkvadze M.
Vandromme J.
Shymanovich I.
Sebov K.
Kawa K.
Day K.
Sasnovich A.
Andreescu B.
Kostovic T.
Zhu L.