Mariam Bolkvadze vs Jeline VandrommeWimbledon Qualifying Final

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Final
#539WTA
1479ELO
1397Grass ELO
28 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
grass
#161WTA
1690ELO
1520Grass ELO
18 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWLLL
Bolkvadze M.
6-4 4-6 6-3
Vandromme J.
Bolkvadze M.
6462
Vandromme J.
4631

Mariam Bolkvadze broke serve in the first set to take control and defeat Jeline Vandromme 6-4 4-6 6-3 in the Wimbledon qualifying final.

Key context

  • Set 3, game 5: Jeline Vandromme saved three break points to hold serve.
  • Pressure points: Mariam Bolkvadze converted 5 of 12 break points; Jeline Vandromme converted 3 of 6 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Bolkvadze M.
Vandromme J.
Break points won
5/12
3/6
Break points saved
3/6
7/12

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Bolkvadze M.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Vandromme J.

Vandromme J.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Bolkvadze M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
38%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
53%
58%
Return points won·Even
50%
48%
Break points saved·Clear edge
44%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.7
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
7.0
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:21 UTC
Bolkvadze M.17%
Vandromme J.83%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Vandromme J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.5Grass Elo 1397
Surface ELO
6.5+123 Grass Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1479
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1690
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.86 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
78
50

Bolkvadze M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 40 games (7d) · Vandromme J.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 105 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 50%

Draw — qualifying

Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final