Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Bianca AndreescuWimbledon Qualifying Final

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Final
#124WTA
1741ELO
1628Grass ELO
32 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLWWLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
grass
#180WTA
1719ELO
1602Grass ELO
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWLWLLW
Sasnovich A.
3-6 6-7
Andreescu B.
Sasnovich A.
3640
Andreescu B.
6772

Bianca Andreescu got past Aliaksandra Sasnovich 6-3 7-6 in the Wimbledon qualifying final on grass.

Key context

  • Set 2, game 12: Bianca Andreescu saved three break points to hold serve.
  • Pressure points: Aliaksandra Sasnovich converted 3 of 6 break points; Bianca Andreescu converted 4 of 11 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Sasnovich A.
Andreescu B.
Break points won
3/6
4/11
Break points saved
7/11
3/6

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2019-09-30BeijingR64hardBianca Andreescu6-2 2-6 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Sasnovich A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Andreescu B.

Andreescu B.serving77% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Sasnovich A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Even
58%
58%
Return points won·Even
46%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
51%
Aces / match·Even
3.0
3.1
Double faults / match·Even
3.4
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
62
83
Break points saved·Slight edge
79
90
Break points won·Even
93
89
Deciding sets·Clear edge
72
86
Tiebreaks·Dominant
30
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:21 UTC
Sasnovich A.51%
Andreescu B.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.3+26 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Grass Elo 1602
5.6Overall Elo 1741
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1719
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
6.26 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
5.1Won 52% in GBR (21)
Country comfort
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
61
69

Sasnovich A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 55 games (7d) · Andreescu B.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 50%

Draw — qualifying

Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final