Teodora Kostovic vs Lin ZhuWimbledon Qualifying Final

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Final
#150WTA
1532ELO
1441Grass ELO
19 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
grass
Lin Zhu
CHN30
#177WTA
1674ELO
1545Grass ELO
32 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWWW
Kostovic T.
6-3 6-4
Zhu L.
Kostovic T.
662
Zhu L.
340

Teodora Kostovic won the Wimbledon final, defeating Lin Zhu 6-3, 6-4. Kostovic hit 5 aces to Zhu's 1 and did not commit a double fault, while converting 50% of her break points to Zhu's 33%. Kostovic won 3 service breaks to Zhu's 1, and won 65% of her first-serve points to Zhu's 57%.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
52%
Service points won·Even
58%
61%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Even
56%
57%
Aces / match·Even
2.6
2.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (47 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Kostovic T.27%
Zhu L.73%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Zhu L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.4+35 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Grass Elo 1477
4.2Overall Elo 1557
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1618
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
6.36 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
94

Kostovic T.: 16 days rest · Zhu L.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 24 km/hHumidity 48%

Draw