Katie Volynets vs Leolia Jeanjean — Wimbledon Qualifying Final

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Final
Katie Volynets
USA
Katie Volynets
#99WTA
1768ELO
1606Grass ELO
24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWWLWWL
—
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
grass
FRA
Leolia Jeanjean
#133WTA
1653ELO
1501Grass ELO
30 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLLLWWLW
Volynets K.
vs
Jeanjean L.

Katie Volynets faces Leolia Jeanjean in the Wimbledon qualifying final on grass. Katie Volynets holds the paper edge — ranked #99, defending last year's round of 64, a roughly 110-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC
Volynets K.69%
Jeanjean L.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Volynets K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Volynets K.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Jeanjean L.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.3+105 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Grass Elo 1501
6.3Overall Elo 1768
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1653
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.37 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Volynets K.Stable
Jeanjean L.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

31 vs 21 matches

Statistics

This season
Volynets K.Jeanjean L.
1st serve in·Clear edge
77%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
59%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
48%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
42%
Break points saved·Clear edge
49%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.3
3.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.3
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Volynets K.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Jeanjean L.

Jeanjean L.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Volynets K.

Serve advantage — Volynets K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Volynets K.Jeanjean L.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
64
81
Break points saved·Even
75
75
Break points won·Slight edge
97
90
Deciding sets·Dominant
65
92
Tiebreaks·
56
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Volynets K.Jeanjean L.
Freshness·Even
75
79

Volynets K.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d) · Jeanjean L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
30°CClear
Wind 24 km/hHumidity 51%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw — qualifying

Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Timofeeva M.[1]
Osuigwe W.
6-16-4
Rus A.
Podrez V.
4-64-6
Monnet C.
Prozorova T.
2-64-6
Watson H.
Sherif M.[21]
6-26-2
Krueger A.[2]
Knutson G.
7-57-5
Hontama M.
Urhobo A.
7-666-3
Iatcenko P.
Romero Gormaz L.
6-06-3
Bai Z.
Zidansek T.[26]
6-27-5
Korneeva A.
Shubladze A.
2-67-626-3
Brancaccio N.
Lazaro Garcia A.
3-64-6
Riera J.
D. Britton
2-66-26-4
Crawley F.
Sakatsume H.[19]
7-54-67-68
Wang X.
Guo H.
7-646-3
Radivojevic L.
Bassols Ribera M.
7-6102-66-77
Dolehide C.
Montgomery R.
4-66-71
Mcdonald E.
Kalieva E.[31]
6-36-744-6
Volynets K.[5]
Samson L.
7-656-1
Miyazaki Y.
Yaneva E.
2-64-6
Gorgodze E.
Valdmannova V.
6-27-62
You X.
Jeanjean L.[23]
6-42-63-6
Semenistaja D.[6]
Siskova A.
7-621-67-5
Hon P.
Hibino N.
2-62-6
Lepchenko V.
Gasanova A.
6-21-66-710
Fruhvirtova L.
Jones E.[29]
2-61-6
Quevedo K.[7]
Ishii S.
6-06-3
Papamichail D.
Liu C.
2-61-6
Tubello A.
Pridankina E.
2-60-6
Rajecki A.
Lamens S.[27]
3-65-7
Uchijima M.
Adeshina E.
1-66-35-7
Tan H.
Pohankova M.
7-632-66-1
Naef C.
Garland J.
6-35-74-6
Grant T.
Preston T.[18]
6-12-66-4
Sun L.[9]
Klimovicova L.
7-637-5
Pigossi L.
Dodin O.
5-74-6
Koevermans A.
Sawangkaew M.
3-66-14-6
Cross K.
Stoiana M.[25]
3-64-6
Galfi D.[10]
Jorge F.
6-753-6
Fita Boluda A.
Gjorcheska L.
2-64-6
Mikulskyte J.
Zhao C.
6-37-66
Inglis M.
Bronzetti L.[20]
3-66-34-6
Kudermetova P.[11]
Ponchet J.
1-66-26-3
Friedsam A.
Ngounoue C.
3-65-7
Rame A.
Uebelhoer C.
3-67-52-6
Mandlik E.
Charaeva A.[22]
2-64-6
Grabher J.[12]
Bolkvadze M.
4-66-76
Kinoshita H.
Tomova V.
7-56-3
Carle M.
Havlickova L.
7-55-76-4
Vandromme J.
Yuan Y.
4-66-06-2
Salkova D.[13]
Shymanovich I.
6-756-34-6
Minnen G.
Ferro F.
6-36-1
Sebov K.
Ortenzi J.
4-66-36-2
Noha Akugue N.
Pigato L.[28]
7-626-3
Kawa K.[14]
Bandecchi S.
6-16-3
Giovannini L.
Stefanini L.
6-766-75
Ma Y.
Andreeva E.
0-63-6
Brace C.
Day K.[32]
4-63-6
Sasnovich A.[15]
Dunne K.
1-66-36-2
S. Hunter
Costoulas S.
7-56-4
Andreescu B.
Hercog P.
6-46-2
Masarova R.
Teichmann J.[24]
6-724-6
Sramkova R.[16]
Hruncakova V.
7-657-63
Ku Y.
Kostovic T.
1-64-6
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
Lee C.
6-44-66-3
Barthel M.
Zhu L.[30]
4-63-6
Timofeeva M.
Podrez V.
6-46-2
Prozorova T.
Watson H.
7-53-65-7
Krueger A.
Hontama M.
6-35-76-3
Iatcenko P.
Bai Z.
7-676-2
Korneeva A.
Lazaro Garcia A.
6-26-757-5
Riera J.
Crawley F.
2-66-36-71
Wang X.
Bassols Ribera M.
6-31-60-4
Montgomery R.
Kalieva E.
6-26-2
Volynets K.
E. Yaneva
6-16-4
Gorgodze E.
Jeanjean L.
3-62-6
Semenistaja D.
Hibino N.
6-41-66-2
Gasanova A.
Jones E.[29]
5-76-46-3
Quevedo K.
Liu C.
4-64-6
Pridankina E.
Lamens S.
7-54-66-3
Adeshina E.
Tan H.
2-62-6
Garland J.
Grant T.
4-64-6
Sun L.
Dodin O.
6-7106-75
Sawangkaew M.
Stoiana M.
2-66-47-5
Jorge F.
Gjorcheska L.
7-52-61-6
Mikulskyte J.
Bronzetti L.
3-63-6
Kudermetova P.
Ngounoue C.
6-16-2
Uebelhoer C.
Charaeva A.
7-5 4-6 0-5
Bolkvadze M.
Kinoshita H.
6-36-2
Carle M.
Vandromme J.
7-614-63-6
Shymanovich I.
Minnen G.
6-46-2
Sebov K.
Noha Akugue N.
6-45-77-5
Kawa K.
Stefanini L.
6-42-66-2
Andreeva E.
Day K.
2-62-6
Sasnovich A.
S. Hunter
5-76-17-5
Andreescu B.
Teichmann J.[24]
6-746-16-4
Sramkova R.[16]
Kostovic T.
6-46-744-6
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
Zhu L.
2-63-6
Timofeeva M.
Watson H.
Krueger A.
Iatcenko P.
Korneeva A.
Crawley F.
Bassols Ribera M.
Montgomery R.
Volynets K.
Jeanjean L.
Semenistaja D.
Gasanova A.
Liu C.
Pridankina E.
Tan H.
Grant T.
Dodin O.
Sawangkaew M.
Gjorcheska L.
Bronzetti L.
Kudermetova P.
—
Bolkvadze M.
Vandromme J.
Shymanovich I.
Sebov K.
Kawa K.
Day K.
Sasnovich A.
Andreescu B.
Kostovic T.
Zhu L.