Tereza Valentova vs Karolina Pliskova — Wimbledon Round of 128
Valentova T.Tereza Valentova faces Karolina Pliskova in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. Tereza Valentova is the paper favourite — ranked #61 — but Karolina Pliskova arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 4 on grass to Tereza Valentova's 2.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Pliskova K. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Tereza Valentova comes in with 1 days of rest and 105 games in 14d, vs Karolina Pliskova's 6 and 120.
- Surface form: Tereza Valentova 2 of 4, Karolina Pliskova 3 of 4 on grass recently — Karolina Pliskova the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadValentova T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 87 games (7d) · Pliskova K.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.