Elena Gabriela Ruse vs Caty Mcnally — Wimbledon Round of 128
Ruse E.
Elena Gabriela Ruse faces Caty Mcnally in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. Caty Mcnally is the paper favourite — ranked #50, defending last year's round of 64, a roughly 20-point grass Elo advantage — but Elena Gabriela Ruse arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 8 on grass to Caty Mcnally's 5.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Elena Gabriela Ruse comes in with 1 days of rest and 117 games in 14d, vs Caty Mcnally's 1 and 155.
- Win streak: Elena Gabriela Ruse arrives on a 5-match winning run.
- Surface form: Elena Gabriela Ruse 7 of 8, Caty Mcnally 5 of 8 on grass recently — Elena Gabriela Ruse the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadRuse E.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 102 games (7d) · Mcnally C.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.