Diana Shnaider vs Eva Lys — Wimbledon Round of 128
Shnaider D.
Diana Shnaider faces Eva Lys in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. Diana Shnaider holds the paper edge — ranked #16, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 64.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Shnaider D. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Serve & return: Diana Shnaider leads on Serve Rating (38), Eva Lys on Return Rating (70).
- Under pressure: Diana Shnaider has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 90 vs Eva Lys's 60).
- Head-to-head: Diana Shnaider leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Budapest 2024.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadShnaider D.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Lys E.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-15 | Budapest | SF | clay | Diana Shnaider | 6-3 6-3 |