Ashlyn Krueger vs Donna Vekic — Wimbledon Round of 128
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Krueger A.
Ashlyn Krueger faces Donna Vekic in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. Donna Vekic is the paper favourite — ranked #33, defending last year's round of 64, a roughly 30-point grass Elo advantage — but Ashlyn Krueger has won their only previous meeting, though none on grass. Ashlyn Krueger brings the better recent grass form (8 of 8).
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Ashlyn Krueger 157 games in 14 days, Donna Vekic 108.
- Serve & return: Ashlyn Krueger leads on Serve Rating (33), Donna Vekic on Return Rating (29).
- Win streak: Ashlyn Krueger arrives on a 8-match winning run.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadKrueger A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 74 games (7d) · Vekic D.: 9 days rest · 5 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-12 | Cincinnati | R64 | hard | Ashlyn Krueger | 5-7 7-6(4) 6-2 |