Petra Marcinko vs Sofia Kenin — Wimbledon Round of 128
Marcinko P.
Petra Marcinko faces Sofia Kenin in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. Petra Marcinko brings the better recent grass form (3 of 4).
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Kenin S. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Petra Marcinko comes in with 1 days of rest and 185 games in 14d, vs Sofia Kenin's 6 and 82.
- Surface form: Petra Marcinko 3 of 4, Sofia Kenin 1 of 4 on grass recently — Petra Marcinko the sharper of late.
- Stage: Sofia Kenin defends last year's round of 64.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadMarcinko P.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 133 games (7d) · Kenin S.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.