Anhelina Kalinina vs Kamilla RakhimovaWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 128
#70WTA
1838ELO
1653Grass ELO
29 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLLWWWW
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
grass
#65WTA
1707ELO
1620Grass ELO
24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWLWLLL
Kalinina A.
vs
Rakhimova K.

Anhelina Kalinina faces Kamilla Rakhimova in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. They have met once, Anhelina Kalinina leading 1–0, though this is their first meeting on grass. Anhelina Kalinina brings the better recent grass form (2 of 4).

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC
Kalinina A.76%
Rakhimova K.24%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kalinina A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+32 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Grass Elo 1620
6.7Overall Elo 1838
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1707
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
4.75 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.26 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

37 vs 24 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
69%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
46%
Service points won·Even
58%
56%
Return points won·Even
49%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
55%
Aces / match·Even
1.6
1.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
5.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Kalinina A.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Rakhimova K.

Rakhimova K.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Kalinina A.

Serve advantage — Kalinina A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
83
48
Break points saved·Clear edge
82
67
Break points won·Slight edge
97
91
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
61
Tiebreaks·Dominant
58
13

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
77
86

Kalinina A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d) · Rakhimova K.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
18°CPartly cloudy
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 55%

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-21MadridR128clayAnhelina Kalinina6-2 5-7 6-2

Draw — qualifying

Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final