Iryna Shymanovich vs Viktorija GolubicWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 128
#216WTA
1552ELO
1480Grass ELO
28 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWWLLLL
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
grass
#64WTA
1736ELO
1612Grass ELO
33 yrs · 169 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWWLWLW
Shymanovich I.
vs
Golubic V.

Iryna Shymanovich faces Viktorija Golubic in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. Viktorija Golubic is the paper favourite — ranked #64, defending last year's round of 128, a roughly 130-point grass Elo advantage — but Iryna Shymanovich rides a 3-match win streak. Recent grass form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC
Shymanovich I.17%
Golubic V.83%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Golubic V. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.4Grass Elo 1480
Surface ELO
6.6+131 Grass Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1552
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1736
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.96 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.46 of last 10 on grass
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Country comfort
4.9Won 48% in GBR (25)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

24 vs 22 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
58%
73%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
58%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
42%
Service points won·Even
53%
54%
Return points won·Even
46%
47%
Break points saved·Even
54%
53%
Aces / match·Even
0.8
0.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.7
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Shymanovich I.serving65% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Golubic V.

Golubic V.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Shymanovich I.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
40
65
Break points saved·Clear edge
44
59
Break points won·Slight edge
85
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
40
81
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
79
64

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
56
71

Shymanovich I.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 82 games (7d) · Golubic V.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
18°CPartly cloudy
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 55%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw — qualifying

Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final