Veronika Erjavec vs Leolia Jeanjean — Wimbledon Round of 128
Erjavec V.
Veronika Erjavec faces Leolia Jeanjean in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. Veronika Erjavec is the paper favourite — ranked #87, defending last year's round of 64, a roughly 60-point grass Elo advantage — but Leolia Jeanjean rides a 3-match win streak.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Veronika Erjavec comes in with 5 days of rest and 86 games in 14d, vs Leolia Jeanjean's 1 and 63.
- Stage: Veronika Erjavec defends last year's round of 64.
- Win streak: Leolia Jeanjean arrives on a 3-match winning run.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadErjavec V.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 52 games (7d) · Jeanjean L.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 63 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.