Alexandra Eala vs Renata Zarazua — Wimbledon Round of 128
Eala A.
Alexandra Eala faces Renata Zarazua in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. Alexandra Eala holds the paper edge — ranked #30, defending last year's round of 128, a roughly 240-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Eala A. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Alexandra Eala 99 games in 14 days, Renata Zarazua 120.
- Under pressure: Alexandra Eala has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 74 vs Renata Zarazua's 51).
- Stage: Alexandra Eala defends last year's round of 128; Renata Zarazua defends last year's round of 64.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadEala A.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 55 games (7d) · Zarazua R.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.