Talia Gibson vs Marie Bouzkova — Wimbledon Round of 128
Gibson T.
Talia Gibson faces Marie Bouzkova in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. Marie Bouzkova holds the paper edge — ranked #22, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 64.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Bouzkova M. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Serve & return: Serve-return mismatch: Talia Gibson grades 48 on serve, Marie Bouzkova 79 on return.
- Freshness: Talia Gibson comes in with 3 days of rest and 98 games in 14d, vs Marie Bouzkova's 5 and 126.
- Surface form: Talia Gibson 2 of 7, Marie Bouzkova 6 of 7 on grass recently — Marie Bouzkova the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadGibson T.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 42 games (7d) · Bouzkova M.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 66 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-30 | Brisbane | R64 | hard | Marie Bouzkova | 7-6(5) 3-6 6-3 |