Yuliia Starodubtseva vs Anna BlinkovaWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 128
#55WTA
1777ELO
1602Grass ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWWLWLW
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
grass
#107WTA
1684ELO
1604Grass ELO
27 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWLWWLL
Starodubtseva Y.
vs
Blinkova A.

Yuliia Starodubtseva faces Anna Blinkova in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. Yuliia Starodubtseva holds the paper edge — ranked #55, defending last year's round of 64. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, though this is their first meeting on grass.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC
Starodubtseva Y.66%
Blinkova A.34%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Starodubtseva Y. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0Grass Elo 1602
Surface ELO
5.0+2 Grass Elo edge
5.7Overall Elo 1777
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1684
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
3.74 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

33 vs 22 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
57%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
42%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
51%
Return points won·Even
46%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
51%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
1.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Starodubtseva Y.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Blinkova A.

Blinkova A.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Starodubtseva Y.

Serve advantage — Starodubtseva Y.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
75
66
Break points saved·Dominant
89
58
Break points won·Even
95
94
Deciding sets·Even
71
68
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
69
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
74
75

Starodubtseva Y.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Blinkova A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 52 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
18°CPartly cloudy
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 55%

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-24Roland GarrosR128clayYuliia Starodubtseva3-6 1-6
2025-08-25US OpenR128hardAnna Blinkova6-3 6-1

Draw — qualifying

Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final