Amanda Anisimova vs Lina GjorcheskaWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 128
#6WTA
1914ELO
1768Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$14MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWLWWLW
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
grass
#223WTA
1482ELO
1427Grass ELO
31 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLLLWLWW
Anisimova A.
vs
Gjorcheska L.

Amanda Anisimova faces Lina Gjorcheska in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. Amanda Anisimova is the paper favourite — ranked #6, defending last year's final, a roughly 340-point grass Elo advantage — but Lina Gjorcheska rides a 3-match win streak.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC
Anisimova A.96%
Gjorcheska L.4%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Anisimova A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
9.3+341 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.7Grass Elo 1427
8.8Overall Elo 1914
ELO gap
1.2Overall Elo 1482
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.87 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

12 vs 13 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
37%
Service points won·Even
57%
53%
Return points won·Even
47%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
45%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.2
6.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Anisimova A.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Gjorcheska L.

Gjorcheska L.serving65% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Anisimova A.

Serve advantage — Anisimova A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on grass

Anisimova A.Gjorcheska L.
0
Serve
100
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the grass field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
98
67

Anisimova A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Gjorcheska L.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 60 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
18°CPartly cloudy
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 55%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw — qualifying

Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final