Marie Bouzkova vs Elise MertensWimbledon

Wimbledon · WTA
#23WTA
1871ELO
1751Grass ELO
$844kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWWWWLW
Sets
Sunday, 5 July 2026 ·
grass
#27WTA
1891ELO
1748Grass ELO
$1.6MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWLWLWL
Bouzkova M.
vs
Mertens E.

Marie Bouzkova faces Elise Mertens in the Wimbledon match on grass. Marie Bouzkova holds the paper edge — ranked #23, defending last year's round of 64. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, though this is their first meeting on grass.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0+3 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.0Grass Elo 1748
4.6Overall Elo 1871
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1891
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
9.39 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.66 of last 10 on grass
10.08-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
5.4Won 56% in GBR (25)
Country comfort
5.6Won 61% in GBR (38)
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

19 vs 13 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
61%
Return points won·Even
45%
47%
Break points saved·Even
55%
52%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.6
4.0
Double faults / match·Even
3.8
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bouzkova M.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Mertens E.

Mertens E.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Bouzkova M.

Serve advantage — Mertens E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
76
77
Break points saved·Even
90
90
Break points won·Even
98
96
Deciding sets·Even
72
76
Tiebreaks·Even
64
65

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
74
75

Bouzkova M.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d) · Mertens E.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-15DubaiR64hardElise Mertens6-2 6-2
2023-08-14CincinnatiR32hardMarie Bouzkova6-2 4-6 6-1
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final