Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo Sonego — Wimbledon Round of 32

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 32
Taylor Fritz
USA
Taylor Fritz
#7ATP
1909ELO
1857Grass ELO
$1.6MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWWWLWW
—
Sets
Friday, 3 July 2026 ·
grass
Lorenzo Sonego
ITA
Lorenzo Sonego
#69ATP
1715ELO
1635Grass ELO
$435kYTD
$9.8MCAREER
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWLLWLWL
Fritz T.
vs
Sonego L.

Taylor Fritz faces Lorenzo Sonego in the Wimbledon round of 32 on grass. Taylor Fritz holds the paper edge — ranked #7, leading the head-to-head 7–2, defending last year's semi-final.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:20 UTC
Fritz T.86%
Sonego L.14%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Fritz T. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Fritz T.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Sonego L.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.8+222 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.2Grass Elo 1635
7.4Overall Elo 1909
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1715
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
8.08 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
6.0Won 66% in GBR (41)
Country comfort
5.2Won 54% in GBR (24)
Context
8.5Reached the semis here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Fritz T.Stable
Sonego L.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

20 vs 8 matches

Statistics

This season
Fritz T.Sonego L.
1st serve in·Even
69%
65%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
80%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
71%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
33%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
15.9
4.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Fritz T.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Sonego L.

Sonego L.serving91% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Fritz T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Fritz T.Sonego L.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
87
68
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Clear edge
60
45
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
68
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Fritz T.Sonego L.
Freshness·Clear edge
75
63

Fritz T.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Sonego L.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
21°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 45%

Head to head

7–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersR32hardTaylor Fritz7-6(4) 7-5
2025-03-19Miami MastersR64hardTaylor Fritz7-6(2) 6-3
2023-08-14Cincinnati MastersR32hardTaylor Fritz6-4 7-6(1)
2021-11-01Paris MastersR64hardTaylor Fritz3-6 6-2 6-3
2021-04-05CagliariSFclayLorenzo Sonego6-4 5-7 6-1
2021-03-08DohaR32hardTaylor Fritz7-6(5) 6-4
2020-09-28Roland GarrosR32clayLorenzo Sonego7-6(5) 6-3 7-6(17)
2018-07-02WimbledonR128grassTaylor Fritz3-6 6-3 6-2 6-2
2018-06-18Queen's ClubQ1grassTaylor Fritz6-2 3-6 6-1
View full head-to-head →
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sinner J.[1]
Kecmanovic M.
4-66-36-766-26-3
Borges N.
Boyer T.
6-37-57-5
Vukic A.
Brooksby J.
6-771-61-6
Nava E.
Buse I.[31]
6-736-35-70-6
Jodar R.[23]
Gill F.
6-36-37-5
Shapovalov D.
Carreno Busta P.
3-66-770-0
Mochizuki S.
Basing M.
6-36-06-0
Quinn E.
Darderi L.[14]
7-677-56-2
Ruud C.[11]
Hurkacz H.
4-62-66-77
Medjedovic H.
Ofner S.
6-12-66-43-64-6
Kwon S.
Landaluce M.
6-46-36-3
Muller A.
Paul T.[21]
1-62-61-6
Nakashima B.[28]
Pinnington Jones J.
6-37-657-5
Struff J.
Baez S.
6-17-644-62-67-5
Ugo Carabelli C.
Merida Aguilar D.
6-46-32-60-3
Cilic M.
Medvedev D.[8]
1-62-64-6
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
Shevchenko A.
6-36-16-4
Walton A.
Prizmic D.
6-46-734-62-6
Vallejo A.
Mejia N.
6-44-65-76-72
Zheng M.
Norrie C.[26]
6-776-26-726-37-64
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
Cerundolo J.
6-46-47-62
Tirante T.
Marozsan F.
5-73-64-6
Van Assche L.
Fucsovics M.
3-60-4
Svrcina D.
Tien L.[16]
1-64-67-643-6
Rublev A.[12]
Safiullin R.
4-67-666-33-66-712
Kovacevic A.
Van De Zandschulp B.
3-67-624-60-6
De Jong J.
Hijikata R.
7-643-65-76-46-3
Bautista Agut R.
Fonseca J.[24]
6-744-63-6
Rinderknech A.[25]
Tarvet O.
7-647-644-67-5
Trungelliti M.
Damm M.
6-757-656-726-75
Gaston H.
Tsitsipas S.
1-64-62-6
Wu Y.
Djokovic N.[7]
4-67-54-64-6
De Minaur A.[5]
Burruchaga R.
7-656-16-0
Mannarino A.
Droguet T.
6-26-46-1
Bellucci M.
Svajda Z.
Majchrzak K.
Tabilo A.[30]
6-37-57-5
Khachanov K.[19]
Harris B.
6-35-76-36-3
Hanfmann Y.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-767-696-26-3
Griekspoor T.
Duckworth J.
4-66-45-74-6
Navone M.
Cobolli F.[9]
6-16-753-66-78
Mensik J.[15]
Samuel T.
5-76-36-33-67-67
Sweeny D.
Dimitrov G.
6-743-65-7
Wawrinka S.
Berrettini M.
7-676-7166-776-75
Collignon R.
Fils A.[20]
5-71-63-6
Humbert U.[27]
Bergs Z.
2-65-76-46-33-6
Shimabukuro S.
Faria J.
6-763-67-623-6
Dzumhur D.
Fery A.
6-32-62-61-6
Virtanen O.
Shelton B.[4]
6-43-66-786-27-69
Fritz T.[6]
Draper J.
Kypson P.
Mcdonald M.
3-66-16-46-4
Bonzi B.
Diallo G.
6-16-46-753-61-3
Sonego L.
Etcheverry T.[29]
6-46-46-727-64
Tiafoe F.[17]
Atmane T.
7-666-14-66-4
Kopriva V.
Choinski J.
3-65-72-6
Jacquet K.
Gaubas V.
6-36-47-62
Kokkinakis T.
Bublik A.[10]
6-43-67-6103-64-6
Lehecka J.[13]
Popyrin A.
6-46-26-4
Molcan A.
Altmaier D.
6-43-67-56-2
Michelsen A.
Fearnley J.
6-36-42-63-62-6
Munar J.
Cerundolo F.[18]
6-16-46-3
Arnaldi M.[32]
Halys Q.
6-31-66-753-6
Moutet C.
Giron M.
6-44-65-74-6
Royer V.
Wendelken H.
4-66-36-36-3
Blockx A.
Zverev A.[2]
4-67-686-756-70
Sinner J.[1]
Borges N.
7-647-626-4
Brooksby J.
Buse I.[31]
6-26-26-3
Jodar R.[23]
Carreno Busta P.
3-66-31-66-36-4
Mochizuki S.
Quinn E.
6-27-667-5
Hurkacz H.
Ofner S.
7-686-46-4
Kwon S.
Paul T.[21]
3-66-742-6
Nakashima B.[28]
Struff J.
6-46-766-757-666-77
Merida Aguilar D.
Medvedev D.[8]
6-33-65-72-6
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
Prizmic D.
7-626-37-5
Mejia N.
Zheng M.
7-646-781-64-6
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
Marozsan F.
6-36-06-3
Fucsovics M.
Tien L.[16]
6-766-47-646-3
Safiullin R.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-04-66-33-67-65
De Jong J.
Fonseca J.[24]
1-65-74-6
Rinderknech A.[25]
Damm M.
6-47-616-3
Tsitsipas S.
Djokovic N.[7]
3-64-62-6
De Minaur A.[5]
Mannarino A.
6-36-26-2
Svajda Z.
Majchrzak K.
2-66-26-756-46-3
Khachanov K.
Hanfmann Y.
6-36-46-4
Duckworth J.
Cobolli F.
6-746-36-731-6
Mensik J.
Dimitrov G.
6.5-7.7 6-4 3-3
Berrettini M.
Fils A.
6-47-53-66-3
Bergs Z.
Faria J.
7-664-66-26-3
Fery A.
Virtanen O.
5-77-636-36-3
Fritz T.[6]
Kypson P.
6-26-27-5
Diallo G.
Sonego L.
6-746-46-747-662-6
Tiafoe F.
Choinski J.
4-6 6-2 5-5
Jacquet K.
Bublik A.
3-6 4-6 6-5
Lehecka J.
Molcan A.
6-36-26-4
Fearnley J.
Munar J.
4-66-734-6
Halys Q.
Giron M.
6-753-64-6
Royer V.
Zverev A.
1-63-66-73
Sinner J.
Brooksby J.
Jodar R.
Mochizuki S.
Hurkacz H.
Paul T.
Struff J.
Medvedev D.
Auger Aliassime F.
Zheng M.
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
Fucsovics M.
Safiullin R.
Fonseca J.[24]
Rinderknech A.
Djokovic N.
De Minaur A.
Svajda Z.
Khachanov K.
Cobolli F.
—
Berrettini M.
Bergs Z.
Fery A.
Fritz T.
Sonego L.
—
Lehecka J.
Munar J.
Giron M.
Zverev A.
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