Arthur Fery vs Otto VirtanenWimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 64
#114ATP
1722ELO
1603Grass ELO
$329kYTD
$868kCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWLWWW
3 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 2 July 2026 ·
grass
Court 18 · 1st on
#140ATP
1719ELO
1694Grass ELO
$214kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWWWL
Fery A.
5-7 7-6 6-3 6-3
Virtanen O.
Fery A.
577663
Virtanen O.
763331

Arthur Fery fought back from a set down to beat Otto Virtanen 5-7 7-6 6-3 6-3 in the Wimbledon round of 64.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 4: A 15-point game with five deuces went Otto Virtanen's way.
  • Set 4, game 4: Arthur Fery broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Arthur Fery converted 3 of 9 break points; Otto Virtanen converted 1 of 1 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Fery A.
Virtanen O.
Break points won
3/9
1/1
Break points saved
0/1
6/9

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Fery A.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Virtanen O.

Virtanen O.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Fery A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
66%
Return points won·Even
40%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.4
8.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.4
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
53
48
Break points saved·Slight edge
85
94
Break points won·Dominant
33
3
Deciding sets·Dominant
93
57
Tiebreaks·Dominant
8
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:20 UTC
Fery A.38%
Virtanen O.62%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Virtanen O. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Grass Elo 1603
Surface ELO
6.1+91 Grass Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1722
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1719
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
6.77 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
8.48 of last 10 on grass
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
6.7Home country · 5/11 here
Country comfort
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
72
51

Fery A.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d) · Virtanen O.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 95 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CMainly clear
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 49%
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final