Zachary Svajda vs Kamil MajchrzakWimbledon

Wimbledon · ATP
#66ATP
1730ELO
1677Grass ELO
$619kYTD
$1.9MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLLWLWWW
Sets
Wednesday, 1 July 2026 ·
grass
#45ATP
1802ELO
1757Grass ELO
$594kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
30 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWWWLWW
Svajda Z.
vs
Majchrzak K.

Zachary Svajda faces Kamil Majchrzak in the Wimbledon match on grass. Kamil Majchrzak holds the paper edge — ranked #45, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:20 UTC
Svajda Z.37%
Majchrzak K.63%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Majchrzak K. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.0Grass Elo 1677
Surface ELO
6.0+80 Grass Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1730
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1802
7.0Leads 1–0 on grass
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on grass
6.57 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.98 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached qualifying here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

27 vs 21 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
66%
63%
Aces / match·Even
6.4
6.6
Double faults / match·Even
1.7
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Svajda Z.serving92% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Majchrzak K.

Majchrzak K.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Svajda Z.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
68
69
Break points saved·Slight edge
89
97
Break points won·Clear edge
66
51
Deciding sets·Slight edge
64
75
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
78
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
94
98

Svajda Z.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Majchrzak K.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
21°CPartly cloudy
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 53%

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-13Australian OpenQ2hardKamil Majchrzak6-7(5) 6-1 6-2
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final