Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maria Sakkari — Wimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 64
Kamilla Rakhimova
UZB
Kamilla Rakhimova
#70WTA
1707ELO
1620Grass ELO
24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWLWLWLL
—
Sets
Wednesday, 1 July 2026 ·
grass
Maria Sakkari
GRE
Maria Sakkari
#43WTA
1812ELO
1631Grass ELO
$898kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLWWLLLL
Rakhimova K.
vs
Sakkari M.

Kamilla Rakhimova faces Maria Sakkari in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. Maria Sakkari holds the paper edge — ranked #43, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 64.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC
Rakhimova K.36%
Sakkari M.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Sakkari M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rakhimova K.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Sakkari M.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.9Grass Elo 1620
Surface ELO
5.1+10 Grass Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1707
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1812
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
5.66 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
4.04 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Country comfort
5.0Won 50% in GBR (26)
Context
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Rakhimova K.Cooling
Sakkari M.Cooling

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

24 vs 11 matches

Statistics

This season
Rakhimova K.Sakkari M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
64%
Aces / match·Even
1.6
1.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.4
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Rakhimova K.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Sakkari M.

Sakkari M.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Rakhimova K.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Rakhimova K.Sakkari M.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
48
79
Break points saved·Dominant
67
94
Break points won·Even
91
87
Deciding sets·Clear edge
62
74
Tiebreaks·Dominant
13
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Rakhimova K.Sakkari M.
Freshness·Slight edge
95
100

Rakhimova K.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Sakkari M.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
21°CPartly cloudy
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 53%

Head to head

0–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-07CincinnatiR128hardMaria Sakkari6-3 3-6 6-2
2020-09-28Roland GarrosR64clayMaria Sakkari7-6(0) 6-2
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kostovic T.
6-26-3
Oliynykova O.
Kessler M.
0-60-6
Ostapenko J.
Dart H.
6-33-66-4
Ruzic A.
Semenistaja D.
6-33-66-3
Fernandez L.[22]
Tjen J.
1-66-73
Xu M.
Kasatkina D.
2-66-32-6
Gasanova A.
Arango E.
6-36-1
Jacquemot E.
Osaka N.[14]
1-65-7
Muchova K.[10]
Zakharova A.
6-36-2
Andreescu B.
Zhang S.
6-736-76
Parks A.
Dudeney A.
6-36-3
Sawangkaew M.
Chwalinska M.[20]
2-67-56-2
Siniakova K.[32]
Zheng Q.
6-46-4
Stearns P.
Bartunkova N.
4-66-35-7
Krejcikova B.
Klugman H.
6-16-4
Linette M.
Andreeva M.[5]
5-74-6
Pegula J.[4]
Vidmanova D.
7-56-3
Sorribes Tormo S.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-26-3
Yastremska D.
Ito A.
7-614-67-5
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Potapova A.[27]
6-26-3
Alexandrova E.[18]
Udvardy P.
6-46-2
Tararudee L.
Tagger L.
7-635-76-4
Putintseva Y.
Maria T.
4-64-6
J. Cristian
Jovic I.[16]
6-710-6
Bencic B.[11]
Stojsavljevic M.
6-26-1
Wang X.
Cocciaretto E.
6-32-66-2
Jones F.
Parry D.
4-64-6
Frech M.
Kalinskaya A.[19]
6-754-6
Li A.[28]
Sonmez Z.
5-76-14-6
Liu C.
Vandewinkel H.
4-66-36-4
Sierra S.
Bondar A.
6-35-77-5
Korpatsch T.
Gauff C.[7]
2-61-6
Svitolina E.
Snigur D.
4-4
Erjavec V.
Jeanjean L.
4-6 6-4 5-6
Tomljanovic A.
Bolkvadze M.
1-2
Krueger A.
Vekic D.
Navarro E.
Badosa P.
4-6 6-3 4-5
Selekhmeteva O.
Kraus S.
6-1 5-4
Starodubtseva Y.
Blinkova A.
7.7-6.3 4-6 0-3
N. Podoroska
Kostyuk M.
Paolini J.
Montgomery R.
0-66-47-5
Shymanovich I.
Golubic V.
2-66-21-6
Kalinina A.
Rakhimova K.
6-44-65-7
Sakkari M.
Tauson C.
6-36-3
Eala A.
Zarazua R.
S. Williams
Joint M.
Valentova T.
Pliskova K.
3-64-6
Townsend T.
Swiatek I.
1-66-23-6
Anisimova A.
Gjorcheska L.
6-36-2
Marcinko P.
Kenin S.
6-744-6
Begu I.
Swan K.
4-64-6
Day K.
Keys M.
7-654-63-6
Cirstea S.
Bejlek S.
Birrell K.
Korneeva A.
6-30-66-2
Osorio C.
Waltert S.
Seidel E.
Noskova L.
Shnaider D.
Lys E.
Kudermetova P.
Samsonova L.
Boulter K.
Grant T.
4-62-6
Gibson T.
Bouzkova M.
1-66-32-6
Mertens E.
Siegemund L.
6-2 4-2
Haddad Maia B.
Timofeeva M.
3-62-6
Ruse E.
Mcnally C.
5-7 1-2
Boisson L.
Rybakina E.
4-66-13-6
Sabalenka A.
Kessler M.
Ostapenko J.
Ruzic A.
Tjen J.
Kasatkina D.
Gasanova A.
Osaka N.[14]
Muchova K.
Zhang S.
Parks A.
Sawangkaew M.
Siniakova K.
Bartunkova N.
Krejcikova B.
Andreeva M.
Pegula J.
Sorribes Tormo S.
Yastremska D.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Alexandrova E.
Tararudee L.
Maria T.
Jovic I.
Bencic B.
Wang X.
Parry D.
Kalinskaya A.
Sonmez Z.
Liu C.
Sierra S.
Gauff C.
—
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—
—
Paolini J.
Golubic V.
Rakhimova K.
Sakkari M.
—
Pliskova K.
Swiatek I.
Anisimova A.
Kenin S.
Swan K.
Keys M.
—
Birrell K.
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Grant T.
Bouzkova M.
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Timofeeva M.
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Rybakina E.
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