Tyra Caterina Grant vs Marie BouzkovaWimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 64
#172WTA
1671ELO
1511Grass ELO
18 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWLWWWWL
Sets
Wednesday, 1 July 2026 ·
grass
#23WTA
1871ELO
1751Grass ELO
$805kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWWLWLW
Grant T.
vs
Bouzkova M.

Tyra Caterina Grant faces Marie Bouzkova in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. Marie Bouzkova holds the paper edge — ranked #23, defending last year's round of 64, a roughly 240-point grass Elo advantage. Recent grass form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC
Grant T.13%
Bouzkova M.87%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Bouzkova M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
2.0Grass Elo 1511
Surface ELO
8.0+241 Grass Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1671
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1871
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
8.68 of last 10 on grass
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Country comfort
5.1Won 52% in GBR (23)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Opponent rise
2.0Opponent hot: 9 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

28 vs 19 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
44%
Service points won·Even
59%
56%
Return points won·Even
48%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.6
Double faults / match·Even
3.6
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Grant T.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Bouzkova M.

Bouzkova M.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Grant T.

Serve advantage — Grant T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
80
87

Grant T.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 68 games (7d) · Bouzkova M.: 9 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
21°CPartly cloudy
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 53%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final