Amanda Anisimova vs Sofia Kenin — Wimbledon Round of 64
Anisimova A.Amanda Anisimova faces Sofia Kenin in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. Amanda Anisimova is the paper favourite — ranked #6, defending last year's final, a roughly 180-point grass Elo advantage — but Sofia Kenin has won their only previous meeting, though none on grass.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Anisimova A. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Amanda Anisimova 0 games in 14 days, Sofia Kenin 43.
- Under pressure: Amanda Anisimova has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 96 vs Sofia Kenin's 69).
- Last match: Amanda Anisimova dropped just 5 games past Lina Gjorcheska.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadAnisimova A.: 18 days rest · Kenin S.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-31 | Charleston | SF | clay | Sofia Kenin | 5-2 RET |