Alexander Zverev vs Alex De Minaur — Vienna Semi-final
Why
Surface+106 Hard Elo edgeSupports Zverev A.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 2100Supports Zverev A.
Head-to-headTrails 4–7 on hardAgainst the prediction · De Minaur A.
This eventReached the final here last yearSupports Zverev A.
Opponent formOpponent hot: 8 of last 10Against the prediction · De Minaur A.
ELO2 316
Hard ELO2 137
Last 108–2
Age29
Height198 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $68.6M2026 $9.0M
ELO2 132
Hard ELO2 008
Last 108–2
Age27
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $25.8M2026 $3.0M
Alexander Zverev faces Alex De Minaur in the Vienna semi-final on hard. Alexander Zverev holds the paper edge — ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 9–4, defending last year's final. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Key context
- Serve & return: Alexander Zverev brings the bigger serve (Serve Rating 92), Alex De Minaur the stronger return game (Return Rating 70).
- Freshness: Alexander Zverev comes in with 1 days of rest and 101 games in 14d, vs Alex De Minaur's 1 and 65.
- Head-to-head: Alexander Zverev leads the head-to-head 9–4, 7–4 on hard. Last met at Shanghai Masters 2026.
Common opponents
25 shared · last 12 monthsZverev A. and De Minaur A. faced 25 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Zverev A. went 32–9 (78%) against them, De Minaur A. 19–13 (59%). Zverev A. came out better against 7 of 24 comparable opponents, De Minaur A. against 1.
32–978%Zverev A. · better vs 7Record vs common opponents19–1359%De Minaur A. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
83–35Sets41–34
667–518Games368–365
18–9Tiebreaks8–5
7–3Deciding sets5–1
vs Sinner J.#1L4-6 3-6Tour Finals · hardL5-7 2-6Tour Finals · hard
vs Alcaraz C.#3L4-6 6-7 7-6 7-6 5-7Australian Open · hardL5-7 2-6 1-6Australian Open · hard- vs Cobolli F.#6W6-1 4-6 6-4 6-1Roland Garros · clayL5-7 6-7 3-6Wimbledon · grass
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vs Fils A.#8W6-2 6-3Indian Wells Masters · hardL3-6 4-6Cincinnati · hard
vs Tiafoe F.#9W6-3 6-4Indian Wells Masters · hardW6-3 6-4 7-5Australian Open · hard- vs Jodar R.#11W6-1 6-3Roland Garros · clayL3-6 1-6Madrid Masters · clay
vs Djokovic N.#12L6-4 4-6 4-6Beijing · hardL6-7(3) 1-0Beijing · hard
vs Mensik J.#16W7-5 6-2 3-6 6-3Roland Garros · clayL6-0 2-6 2-6 3-6Roland Garros · clay- vs Nakashima B.#17W7-6 5-7 6-4Indian Wells Masters · hardL5-7 3-6London · grass
- vs Tien L.#18W7-6(3) 6-3Laver Cup - London · hardW6-4 6-2Vienna · hard
vs Bublik A.#20W7-6(6) 4-6 7-6(1)Shanghai Masters · hardW6-4 6-1 6-1Australian Open · hard
vs Khachanov K.#24W6-3 7-6(7) 7-6(6)US Open · hardW6-3 6-4Shanghai Masters · hard
vs Blockx A.#27W6-2 7-5Madrid Masters · clayW7-5 7-6Monte Carlo Masters · clay
vs Hurkacz H.#28L3-6 4-6United Cup · hardW6-4 4-6 6-4United Cup · hard
vs Fery A.#35W7-6 6-2 6-4Wimbledon · grassW7-5 7-6(3)Cincinnati · hard
vs Van De Zandschulp B.#37W6-2 7-5 6-1US Open · hardL4-6 5-7 2-6US Open · hard- vs Norrie C.#41W3-6 6-3 6-3Cincinnati · hardL7-5 6-7 1-6Montreal · hard
vs Navone M.#43W6-1 3-6 6-3Madrid Masters · clayW7-6(4) 6-2Beijing · hard- vs Halys Q.#45W6-4 6-7(8) 6-3Shanghai Masters · hardW3-6 7-6(5) 7-5Beijing · hard
- vs Berrettini M.#48W6-3 6-4Indian Wells Masters · hardW7-6(4) 6-2Vienna · hard
- vs Machac T.#71W6-4 6-2 6-2Roland Garros · clayW1-6 6-4 6-3Vienna · hard
- vs Bonzi B.#99W6-3 6-4 6-2Roland Garros · clayW6-2 6-4s Hertogenbosch · grass
- vs Damm M.#105W6-2 6-4Miami Masters · hardW7-5s Hertogenbosch · grass
vs Diallo G.#149W6-7 6-1 6-4 6-2Australian Open · hardW6-3London · grass- vs Fritz T.#13Hard to compareL7-6 4-6 5-7Halle · grassW7-6 6-3Tour Finals · hard
Head-to-head
13 meetings · Zverev A. leads 9–494
Hard: Zverev A. leads 7–4 · Clay: Zverev A. leads 2–0
- Zverev A.October 2026Shanghai MastersHard6-4 6-4
- De Minaur A.September 2026Laver Cup - LondonHard6-2 6-7(5) 9-11
- De Minaur A.September 2025Laver CupHard6-1 6-4
- Zverev A.May 2024Roland GarrosClay6-4 7-6 6-4
- Zverev A.March 2024Indian Wells MastersHard5-7 6-2 6-3
Evidence
Zverev A.De Minaur A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss8–28–2
Season win rate81% (65–15) (ahead)69% (44–20)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO2316 (ahead)2132
Hard-court ELO2137 (ahead)2008
Serve vs returnLast 78 vs 63 matches
1st-serve points won77% (ahead)71%
Return points won37%40% (ahead)
Aces / match10.4 (ahead)4.1
ClutchLast 78 vs 63 matches
Break points saved61%67% (ahead)
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Alexander Zverev vs Alex De Minaur — Vienna Semi-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-31/minaur-vs-zverev-vienna-sf?utm_source=cite (as of 31 October 2026).