Alexander Zverev vs Cameron NorrieCincinnati Round of 64

Cincinnati · ATP · Round of 64
#3ATP
2100ELO
2042Hard ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 16 August 2026 ·
hard
#35ATP
1829ELO
1789Hard ELO
$963kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLWWWW
Zverev A.
3-6 6-3 6-3
Norrie C.
Zverev A.
3662
Norrie C.
6331

Alexander Zverev defeated Cameron Norrie in the Round of 64 at the Cincinnati tournament, prevailing 3-6, 6-3, 6-3 on hard courts. Zverev hit 16 aces to Norrie's 3 and won 86% of his first-serve points, compared to Norrie's 66%. Zverev converted 20% of break points, while Norrie converted 33%, but Zverev secured 3 service breaks to Norrie's 1.

Around the match

  • I wasn't feeling at my physical best

  • Because of one match, the final of Madrid against Sinner, I was completely out of that. Win more Grand Slams and life becomes easy.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

71
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR32hardAlexander Zverev7-5 4-6 6-3 6-1
2024-07-01WimbledonR32grassAlexander Zverev6-4 6-4 7-6
2024-01-15Australian OpenR16hardAlexander Zverev7-5 3-6 6-3 4-6 7-6
2023-10-23ViennaR16hardAlexander Zverev6-2 6-4
2022-01-03Atp CupRRhardAlexander Zverev7-6 6-1
2019-08-05Canada MastersR32hardAlexander Zverev7-6 6-4
2019-02-25AcapulcoSFhardAlexander Zverev7-6 6-3
2013-08-19Canada F6R32hardCameron Norrie7-6(2) 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
59%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
72%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.2
5.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (50 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
93
88
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Slight edge
89
84
Deciding sets·Even
99
97
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:50 UTC
Zverev A.89%
Norrie C.11%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Zverev A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.2+252 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.8Hard Elo 1789
8.4Overall Elo 2100
ELO gap
1.6Overall Elo 1829
8.2Leads 3–0 on hard
H2H
1.8Trails 0–3 on hard
7.58 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
71
71

Zverev A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d) · Norrie C.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 87%

Draw