Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Cameron Norrie — Montreal Round of 128
Montreal · ATP · Round of 128
#76ATP
1759ELO
1642Hard ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWWLLWLW
·
Sets
Live
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 2 · 3rd on
#37ATP
1829ELO
1789Hard ELO
$963kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LWWWWLWLLL
Ugo Carabelli C.6-7 0-0
Norrie C.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Camilo Ugo Carabelli 25 games in 14 days, Cameron Norrie 81.
- Under pressure: Cameron Norrie has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 86 vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli's 47).
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Dominant
47
86
Break points saved·Clear edge
82
97
Break points won·Dominant
36
79
Deciding sets·Even
94
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
4
77
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Conditions
Weather
18°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 69%
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
3.2Hard Elo 1642
Surface ELO6.8+148 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap5.9Overall Elo 1829
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
3.53 of last 10 on hard
Surface form6.06 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transitionContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
53%
Service points won·Even
61%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
67%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.6
5.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.8
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Dominant
98
65
Ugo Carabelli C.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Norrie C.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Camilo Ugo Carabelli faces Cameron Norrie in the Montreal round of 128 on hard. Cameron Norrie holds the paper edge — ranked #37, a roughly 150-point hard Elo advantage.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.