Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina — London Round of 32
Norrie C.
Cameron Norrie faces Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the London round of 32 on grass. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina holds the paper edge — ranked #22, leading the head-to-head 2–0.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Cameron Norrie 0 games in 14 days, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 28.
- Head-to-head: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads the head-to-head 2–0; this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Rome Masters 2021.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadNorrie C.: 19 days rest · Davidovich Fokina A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–2| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-05-10 | Rome Masters | R32 | clay | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2020-08-31 | US Open | R32 | hard | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 7-6(2) 4-6 6-2 6-1 |