Corentin Moutet vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina — London Round of 16
Moutet C.
Corentin Moutet faces Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the London round of 16 on grass. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina holds the paper edge — ranked #22, leading the head-to-head 4–0.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 10:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Davidovich Fokina A. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Serve & return: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads on Serve Rating (39), Corentin Moutet on Return Rating (69).
- Last match: Corentin Moutet dropped the opening set before beating Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 6–7 6–4 7–6.
- Head-to-head: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads the head-to-head 4–0; this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Hamburg 2026.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Serve & return on grass
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the grass field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Freshness
Recent loadMoutet C.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 36 games (7d) · Davidovich Fokina A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–4| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 | Hamburg | R32 | clay | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2025-07-27 | Canada Masters | R64 | hard | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2021-05-10 | Rome Masters | Q2 | clay | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 6-4 7-6(5) |
| 2020-09-14 | Rome Masters | Q3 | clay | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 6-1 6-2 |