Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Bellucci — Stuttgart Round of 32

Stuttgart · ATP · Round of 32
ESP
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
#22ATP
1880ELO
1718Grass ELO
$684kYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWLL
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 8 June 2026 ·
grass
CENTER COURT · 1st on
ITA
Mattia Bellucci
#78ATP
1700ELO
1624Grass ELO
$414kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLLLW

Mattia Bellucci reeled off five straight games on the way to a 6-2 6-7 6-1 win over Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the Stuttgart round of 32.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 3: Mattia Bellucci broke serve.
  • Set 3, game 2: Mattia Bellucci broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina converted 1 of 4 break points; Mattia Bellucci converted 5 of 10 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:21 UTC
Davidovich Fokina A.78%
Bellucci M.22%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Davidovich Fokina A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Davidovich Fokina A.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Bellucci M.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+94 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Grass Elo 1624
7.3Overall Elo 1880
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1700
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
6.16 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.77 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Davidovich Fokina A.
27711
Bellucci M.
66562

Conditions

Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 44%

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-23AcapulcoR16hardMattia Bellucci6-3 6-3
2025-02-24AcapulcoR32hardAlejandro Davidovich Fokina1-6 7-6(6) 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form
Davidovich Fokina A.Bellucci M.
70%1st serve in+9%61%
71%1st serve points won+1%72%
53%2nd serve points won+4%49%
66%Service points won+3%63%
35%Return points won+4%39%
64%Break points saved+3%61%
4.6Aces / match+0.34.3
1.7Double faults / match+12.7

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw