Mattia Bellucci vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaAcapulco Round of 16

Acapulco · ATP · Round of 16
#67ATP
1720ELO
1678Hard ELO
$587kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 23 February 2026
hard
#23ATP
1893ELO
1842Hard ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Bellucci M.
6-3 6-3
Davidovich Fokina A.
Bellucci M.
662
Davidovich Fokina A.
330

Mattia Bellucci defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-3 6-3 in the Acapulco round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alejandro Davidovich Fokina came in ranked #23, defending last year's final. Mattia Bellucci extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-08StuttgartR32grassMattia Bellucci2-6 7.7-6.5 1-6
2025-02-24AcapulcoR32hardAlejandro Davidovich Fokina1-6 7-6(6) 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Bellucci M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Davidovich Fokina A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bellucci M.Davidovich Fokina A.
0
Serve
40
40
Return
53

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
54%
Service points won·Even
63%
67%
Return points won·Even
36%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
64%
Aces / match·Even
4.7
4.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
60
91
Break points saved·Even
96
99
Break points won·Dominant
10
95
Deciding sets·Slight edge
81
91
Tiebreaks·Even
85
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.7Hard Elo 1678
Surface ELO
7.3+165 Hard Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1720
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 1893
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.4
Surface form
6.3
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
7.1
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
75

Bellucci M.: 19 days rest · Davidovich Fokina A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 47%