Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia BellucciAcapulco Round of 32

Acapulco · ATP · Round of 32
#23ATP
1893ELO
1842Hard ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 February 2025
hard
#67ATP
1720ELO
1678Hard ELO
$587kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
Davidovich Fokina A.
1-6 7-6 6-2
Bellucci M.
Davidovich Fokina A.
17862
Bellucci M.
66621

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina defeated Mattia Bellucci 1-6 7-6 6-2 in the Acapulco round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alejandro Davidovich Fokina came in ranked #23. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina claimed a first win over Mattia Bellucci in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-08StuttgartR32grassMattia Bellucci2-6 7.7-6.5 1-6
2026-02-23AcapulcoR16hardMattia Bellucci6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Davidovich Fokina A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Bellucci M.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Davidovich Fokina A.Bellucci M.
40
Serve
0
53
Return
40

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
36%
Break points saved·Even
65%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.8
5.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (85 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
91
60
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Dominant
95
10
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
81
Tiebreaks·Even
85
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.3+165 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Hard Elo 1678
7.6Overall Elo 1893
ELO gap
2.4Overall Elo 1720
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.8
Surface form
6.8
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
75
100

Davidovich Fokina A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d) · Bellucci M.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 67%