Carlos Alcaraz vs Cameron NorrieIndian Wells Masters Quarter-final

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
#2ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
#29ATP
1829ELO
1789Hard ELO
$963kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
Alcaraz C.
6-3 6-4
Norrie C.
Alcaraz C.
662
Norrie C.
340

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Cameron Norrie 6-3 6-4 in the Indian Wells Masters quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 5–3, defending last year's semi-final. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 6–3.

Key context

Head to head

53
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-27Paris MastersR32hardCameron Norrie4-6 6-3 6-4
2025-06-30WimbledonQFgrassCarlos Alcaraz6-2 6-3 6-3
2023-02-20Rio de JaneiroFclayCameron Norrie5-7 6-4 7-5
2023-02-13Buenos AiresFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-3 7-5
2022-08-15Cincinnati MastersQFhardCameron Norrie7-6(4) 6-7(4) 6-4
2022-05-02Madrid MastersR16clayCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-7(4) 6-3
2022-03-07Indian Wells MastersQFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-3
2021-08-30US OpenR128hardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Norrie C.

Norrie C.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alcaraz C.Norrie C.
74
Serve
45
95
Return
34

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
57%
54%
Service points won·Even
68%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
36%
Break points saved·Even
69%
67%
Aces / match·Even
5.0
5.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
98
89
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Clear edge
99
83
Deciding sets·Even
100
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
9.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.8+299 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.2Hard Elo 1789
10.0Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1829
0.0
H2H
10.0
10.0
Surface form
5.4
10.013-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.4
6.9
Country comfort
5.6
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Norrie C.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%