Cameron Norrie vs Carlos Alcaraz — Paris Masters Round of 32

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 32
Cameron Norrie
GBR
Cameron Norrie
#29ATP
1829ELO
1789Hard ELO
$963kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 October 2025
hard
Carlos Alcaraz
ESP1
Carlos Alcaraz
#2ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
Norrie C.
4-6 6-3 6-4
Alcaraz C.
Norrie C.
4662
Alcaraz C.
6341

Cameron Norrie defeated Carlos Alcaraz 4-6 6-3 6-4 in the Paris Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 6–2, defending last year's round of 16. Cameron Norrie narrowed the head-to-head to 6–3.

Key context

Head to head

2–6
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersQFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-3 6-4
2025-06-30WimbledonQFgrassCarlos Alcaraz6-2 6-3 6-3
2023-02-20Rio de JaneiroFclayCameron Norrie5-7 6-4 7-5
2023-02-13Buenos AiresFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-3 7-5
2022-08-15Cincinnati MastersQFhardCameron Norrie7-6(4) 6-7(4) 6-4
2022-05-02Madrid MastersR16clayCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-7(4) 6-3
2022-03-07Indian Wells MastersQFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-3
2021-08-30US OpenR128hardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-4 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Norrie C.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Alcaraz C.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Norrie C.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Norrie C.Alcaraz C.
45
Serve
74
34
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Norrie C.Alcaraz C.
1st serve in·Even
65%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
57%
Service points won·Even
64%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
42%
Break points saved·Even
66%
66%
Aces / match·Even
5.1
5.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (84 vs 103). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Norrie C.Alcaraz C.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
98
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Clear edge
83
99
Deciding sets·Even
98
100
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Norrie C.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Alcaraz C.
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 33 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
0.2Hard Elo 1789
Surface ELO
9.8+299 Hard Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1829
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 2162
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.2
Surface form
9.2
0.0
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.8
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
5.3
Country comfort
6.7
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Norrie C.Alcaraz C.
Freshness·
94
—

Norrie C.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
13°CDrizzle
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 82%
Final
Sinner J.[2]
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
6-47-64
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[2]
Zverev A.[3]
6-06-1
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Bublik A.[13]
7-636-4
Quarter-finals
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Vacherot V.
6-26-2
Bublik A.[13]
De Minaur A.[6]
6-756-47-5
Sinner J.[2]
Shelton B.[5]
6-36-3
Zverev A.[3]
Medvedev D.[11]
2-66-37-65
R16
Shelton B.[5]
Rublev A.[12]
7-666-3
De Minaur A.[6]
Khachanov K.[10]
6-26-2
Zverev A.[3]
Davidovich Fokina A.[15]
6-26-4
Sinner J.[2]
Cerundolo F.
7-56-1
Medvedev D.[11]
Sonego L.
3-67-656-4
Vacherot V.
Norrie C.
7-646-4
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Altmaier D.
3-66-36-2
Bublik A.[13]
Fritz T.[4]
7-656-2
R32
Medvedev D.[11]
Dimitrov G.
W/O
Shelton B.[5]
Cobolli F.
7-646-3
Cerundolo F.
Kecmanovic M.
7-51-67-64
Sinner J.[2]
Bergs Z.
6-46-2
Rublev A.[12]
Tien L.
6-46-4
De Minaur A.[6]
Diallo G.
7-684-66-3
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Muller A.
5-77-657-64
Vacherot V.
Rinderknech A.
6-796-36-4
Altmaier D.
Ruud C.[8]
6-37-5
Davidovich Fokina A.[15]
Cazaux A.
7-656-4
Sonego L.
Musetti L.[7]
3-66-36-1
Norrie C.
Alcaraz C.[1]
4-66-36-4
Fritz T.[4]
Vukic A.
7-646-2
Bublik A.[13]
Moutet C.
6-37-5
Zverev A.[3]
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-756-17-5
Khachanov K.[10]
Fonseca J.
6-13-66-3
R64
Cazaux A.
Darderi L.
7-657-64
Rinderknech A.
Marozsan F.
7-657-64
Vacherot V.
Lehecka J.[14]
6-16-3
Muller A.
Nakashima B.
6-27-5
Bublik A.[13]
Popyrin A.
6-46-3
Bergs Z.
Michelsen A.
6-32-66-2
Ugo Carabelli C.
Etcheverry T.
7-56-3
Diallo G.
Griekspoor T.
6-36-4
Fonseca J.
Shapovalov D.
5-76-46-3
Dimitrov G.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
7-656-1
Medvedev D.[11]
Munar J.
6-16-3
Tien L.
Borges N.
6-27-67
Cerundolo F.
Dzumhur D.
6-36-3
Sonego L.
Korda S.
6-26-3
Cobolli F.
Machac T.
6-16-4
Altmaier D.
Giron M.
6-27-65
Vukic A.
Atmane T.
6-42-66-4
Norrie C.
Baez S.
6-36-4
Rublev A.[12]
Fearnley J.
6-16-4
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Comesana F.
6-726-36-3
Kecmanovic M.
Kovacevic A.
6-41-67-62
Moutet C.
Opelka R.
3-67-56-1
Davidovich Fokina A.[15]
Royer V.
4-66-16-4
Khachanov K.[10]
Quinn E.
6-16-1