Carlos Alcaraz vs Cameron NorrieBuenos Aires Final

Buenos Aires · ATP · Final
#2ATP
2162ELO
2102Clay ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 February 2023
clay
#29ATP
1829ELO
1788Clay ELO
$963kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
Alcaraz C.
6-3 7-5
Norrie C.
Alcaraz C.
672
Norrie C.
350

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Cameron Norrie 6-3 7-5 in the Buenos Aires final on clay. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 5–3. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 6–3.

Key context

Head to head

53
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersQFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-3 6-4
2025-10-27Paris MastersR32hardCameron Norrie4-6 6-3 6-4
2025-06-30WimbledonQFgrassCarlos Alcaraz6-2 6-3 6-3
2023-02-20Rio de JaneiroFclayCameron Norrie5-7 6-4 7-5
2022-08-15Cincinnati MastersQFhardCameron Norrie7-6(4) 6-7(4) 6-4
2022-05-02Madrid MastersR16clayCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-7(4) 6-3
2022-03-07Indian Wells MastersQFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-3
2021-08-30US OpenR128hardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving87% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Norrie C.

Norrie C.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Alcaraz C.Norrie C.
Serve
25
Return
38

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
52%
Service points won·Even
68%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
37%
Break points saved·Even
65%
66%
Aces / match·Even
5.2
5.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 193). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
98
89
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Clear edge
99
83
Deciding sets·Even
100
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 105 days (−1.5)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.6+314 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.4Clay Elo 1788
10.0Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1829
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.5
Surface form
8.8
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
94

Norrie C.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
24°CRain
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 91%