Cameron Norrie vs Carlos AlcarazCincinnati Masters Quarter-final

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
#29ATP
1829ELO
1789Hard ELO
$963kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 15 August 2022
hard
#2ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
Norrie C.
7-6 6-7 6-4
Alcaraz C.
Norrie C.
776462
Alcaraz C.
647741

Cameron Norrie defeated Carlos Alcaraz 7-6 6-7 6-4 in the Cincinnati Masters quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 6–2, defending last year's round of 64. Cameron Norrie narrowed the head-to-head to 6–3.

Key context

Head to head

26
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersQFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-3 6-4
2025-10-27Paris MastersR32hardCameron Norrie4-6 6-3 6-4
2025-06-30WimbledonQFgrassCarlos Alcaraz6-2 6-3 6-3
2023-02-20Rio de JaneiroFclayCameron Norrie5-7 6-4 7-5
2023-02-13Buenos AiresFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-3 7-5
2022-05-02Madrid MastersR16clayCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-7(4) 6-3
2022-03-07Indian Wells MastersQFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-3
2021-08-30US OpenR128hardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Norrie C.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Alcaraz C.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Norrie C.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Norrie C.Alcaraz C.
45
Serve
74
34
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
57%
Service points won·Even
64%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
42%
Break points saved·Even
65%
65%
Aces / match·Even
5.2
5.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
98
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Clear edge
83
99
Deciding sets·Even
98
100
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
8.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.2Hard Elo 1789
Surface ELO
9.8+299 Hard Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1829
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 2162
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.1
Surface form
7.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3.8
Minutes 14d
8.0
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
4.0
5.8
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
94

Norrie C.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CMainly clear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 70%