Arthur Fils vs Alex De MinaurCincinnati Round of 16

Cincinnati · ATP · Round of 16
#21ATP
2001ELO
1930Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$7.9MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWWLLWL
·
Sets
Live
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 2 · 3rd on
#8ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWLWWLWW
Fils A.
3-2
De Minaur A.

Key context

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
81
94
Break points saved·Even
96
98
Break points won·Dominant
54
97
Deciding sets·Even
98
95
Tiebreaks·Even
97
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 60%

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1930
Surface ELO
5.1+6 Hard Elo edge
5.5Overall Elo 2001
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1961
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
7.37 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.46 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
57%
55%
Service points won·Even
68%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
41%
Break points saved·Even
67%
69%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.8
4.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
63
72

Fils A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · De Minaur A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Arthur Fils faces Alex De Minaur in the Cincinnati round of 16 on hard. Alex De Minaur holds the paper edge — ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Around the match

  • You never want to go into a rain delay leading 5-1. It was a tough day with all the interruptions. I'm happy with how I found a way.

    De Minaur A.Al Jazeera
  • Fils has returned to competition following an extended absence from early 2025, showing strong form with wins over top opponents and displaying notable confidence heading into his Cincinnati quarterfinal.

  • Fils showing strong momentum with a 5-1 record in his last six matches after dealing with injuries earlier in the year.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-09RotterdamR32hardAlex De Minaur7-6 6-2
2024-07-01WimbledonR16grassAlex De Minaur6-2 6-4 4-6 6-3
2024-04-15BarcelonaR16clayArthur Fils7-5 6-2

Draw