Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur FilsCincinnati Quarter-final

Cincinnati · ATP · Quarter-final
#42ATP
1741ELO
1636Hard ELO
$730kYTD
$2.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 21 August 2026 ·
hard
#11ATP
2001ELO
1930Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$7.9MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWWL
Tirante T.
3-6 2-6
Fils A.
Tirante T.
320
Fils A.
662

Arthur Fils advanced to the semifinals of the Cincinnati tournament with a 6-3, 6-2 victory over Thiago Agustin Tirante in the quarterfinals. Fils converted 60% of his break points and won 80% of his first-serve points, while Tirante was 0-for on break points. Fils served three aces to Tirante's six and did not commit a double fault, compared to one for Tirante.

Around the match

  • Tirante continued his impressive run with another comeback victory, now having beaten Djokovic, Landaluce and Menšík in consecutive matches.

    Tirante T.Perfect Tennis
  • Fils has recovered from earlier-year injury and is moving smoothly through Cincinnati, appearing sound and dangerous in the draw.

  • It feels great. It's my best win in a long time. It's always an honor to share the court with him.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
57%
Service points won·Even
65%
68%
Return points won·Even
36%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.4
4.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
41
81
Break points saved·Clear edge
75
96
Break points won·Dominant
15
54
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
18
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC
Tirante T.20%
Fils A.80%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Fils A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.3Hard Elo 1636
Surface ELO
8.7+294 Hard Elo edge
1.8Overall Elo 1741
ELO gap
8.2Overall Elo 2001
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
9.09 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.18 of last 10 on hard
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
86
78

Tirante T.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Fils A.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw