Zachary Svajda vs Arthur FilsMontreal Round of 64

Montreal · ATP · Round of 64
#87ATP
1718ELO
1690Hard ELO
$631kYTD
$1.9MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWLWWLWL
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 2 · 2nd on
#24ATP
2001ELO
1930Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$7.9MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLLWWWWW
Svajda Z.
vs
Fils A.

Zachary Svajda faces Arthur Fils in the Montreal round of 64 on hard. Arthur Fils holds the paper edge — ranked #24, a roughly 240-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Svajda Z.22%
Fils A.78%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Fils A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
3 common opponents · Svajda Z. 1–2 · Fils A. 2–1 · small sample
Both lost · different surfaces (Grass × Hard)
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.0Hard Elo 1690
Surface ELO
8.0+240 Hard Elo edge
1.5Overall Elo 1718
ELO gap
8.5Overall Elo 2001
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.25 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.37 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

37 vs 31 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
57%
Service points won·Even
65%
68%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
68%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.2
4.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Svajda Z.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Fils A.

Fils A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Svajda Z.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
24
83
Break points saved·Clear edge
79
96
Break points won·Even
59
57
Deciding sets·Dominant
8
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
21
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
75
96

Svajda Z.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Fils A.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
24°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 68%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw