Rafael Jodar vs Alex De Minaur — Madrid Masters Round of 64

Madrid Masters · ATP · Round of 64
Rafael Jodar
ESP
Rafael Jodar
#25ATP
1999ELO
1949Clay ELO
$1.6MYTD
$1.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 191 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 22 April 2026
clay
Alex De Minaur
AUS5
Alex De Minaur
#5ATP
1961ELO
1869Clay ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Jodar R.
6-3 6-1
De Minaur A.
Jodar R.
662
De Minaur A.
310

Rafael Jodar defeated Alex De Minaur 6-3 6-1 in the Madrid Masters round of 64 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #5, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Jodar R.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

De Minaur A.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Jodar R.

Serve advantage — Jodar R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Jodar R.De Minaur A.
60
Serve
—
85
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Jodar R.De Minaur A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
56%
Service points won·Even
66%
66%
Return points won·Even
41%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
68%
Aces / match·Even
4.2
4.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.2
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Jodar R.De Minaur A.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
86
95
Break points saved·Slight edge
91
99
Break points won·Dominant
71
97
Deciding sets·Even
100
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Jodar R.
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
De Minaur A.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+80 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Clay Elo 1869
5.0Overall Elo 1999
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1961
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
8.6
Surface form
5.8
Fatigue & Travel
6.6
Minutes 14d
8.0
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
8.5
Country comfort
5.4
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Jodar R.De Minaur A.
Freshness·Slight edge
85
80

Jodar R.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · De Minaur A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 48%
Final
Sinner J.[1]
Zverev A.[2]
6-16-2
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[1]
Fils A.[21]
6-26-4
Zverev A.[2]
Blockx A.
6-27-5
Quarter-finals
Zverev A.[2]
Cobolli F.[10]
6-16-4
Fils A.[21]
Lehecka J.[11]
6-36-4
Sinner J.[1]
Jodar R.
6-27-60
Blockx A.
Ruud C.[12]
6-46-4
R16
Ruud C.[12]
Tsitsipas S.
6-747-627-63
Sinner J.[1]
Norrie C.[19]
6-27-5
Lehecka J.[11]
Musetti L.[6]
6-36-3
Zverev A.[2]
Mensik J.[23]
6-46-746-3
Cobolli F.[10]
Medvedev D.[7]
6-35-76-4
Blockx A.
Cerundolo F.[16]
7-686-2
Jodar R.
Kopriva V.
7-56-0
Fils A.[21]
Etcheverry T.[25]
6-36-4
R32
Kopriva V.
Rinderknech A.[22]
6-43-60-0
Ruud C.[12]
Davidovich Fokina A.[20]
6-36-1
Tsitsipas S.
Merida Aguilar D.
6-46-2
Cobolli F.[10]
Vallejo A.
6-36-2
Zverev A.[2]
Atmane T.
6-37-62
Medvedev D.[7]
Budkov Kjaer N.
6-36-2
Norrie C.[19]
Tirante T.
7-57-65
Cerundolo F.[16]
Darderi L.[18]
6-26-3
Sinner J.[1]
Moller E.
6-26-3
Musetti L.[6]
Griekspoor T.[29]
6-47-5
Lehecka J.[11]
Michelsen A.
6-46-2
Fils A.[21]
Nava E.
7-626-3
Jodar R.
Fonseca J.[27]
7-644-66-1
Mensik J.[23]
Khachanov K.[13]
6-47-611
Etcheverry T.[25]
Prizmic D.
2-66-46-3
Blockx A.
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
7-636-3
R64
Fonseca J.[27]
Cilic M.
W/O
Atmane T.
Humbert U.[30]
7-637-65
Moller E.
Diallo G.[32]
7-53-3
Sinner J.[1]
Bonzi B.
6-766-16-4
Merida Aguilar D.
Moutet C.[26]
6-36-4
Jodar R.
De Minaur A.[5]
6-36-1
Etcheverry T.[25]
Ofner S.
6-46-4
Blockx A.
Nakashima B.[28]
3-66-36-4
Musetti L.[6]
Hurkacz H.
6-47-64
Budkov Kjaer N.
Shapovalov D.[31]
6-26-1
Tsitsipas S.
Bublik A.[8]
6-27-5
Ruud C.[12]
Munar J.
6-06-1
Vallejo A.
Tien L.[17]
6-46-3
Cobolli F.[10]
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-776-16-4
Cerundolo F.[16]
Hanfmann Y.
6-17-5
Kopriva V.
Rublev A.[9]
6-36-4
Tirante T.
Paul T.[15]
7-56-4
Medvedev D.[7]
Marozsan F.
6-26-736-4
Rinderknech A.[22]
Lajovic D.
6-36-2
Michelsen A.
Struff J.
6-26-1
Lehecka J.[11]
Tabilo A.
3-67-636-4
Griekspoor T.[29]
Dzumhur D.
6-36-4
Fils A.[21]
Buse I.
6-747-637-5
Nava E.
Vacherot V.[14]
6-757-616-3
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
Gaubas V.
6-36-4
Mensik J.[23]
Damm M.
6-36-4
Prizmic D.
Shelton B.[4]
6-46-747-65
Davidovich Fokina A.[20]
Carreno Busta P.
6-36-3
Zverev A.[2]
Navone M.
6-13-66-3
Darderi L.[18]
Cerundolo J.
6-16-3
Norrie C.[19]
Machac T.
6-26-767-65
Khachanov K.[13]
Walton A.
6-26-3
R128
Budkov Kjaer N.
Opelka R.
5-3
Ofner S.
Basilashvili N.
7-657-60
Marozsan F.
Quinn E.
7-657-66
Kopriva V.
Zhang Z.
6-26-0
Jodar R.
De Jong J.
2-67-56-4
Tirante T.
Bautista Agut R.
6-26-4
Cilic M.
Bergs Z.
4-66-36-4
Atmane T.
Kecmanovic M.
6-47-5
Struff J.
Muller A.
7-636-0
Carreno Busta P.
Fucsovics M.
4-67-656-2
Dzumhur D.
Bellucci M.
6-26-4
Moller E.
Cina F.
6-47-64
Buse I.
Mannarino A.
6-46-2
Blockx A.
Garin C.
4-67-57-5
Lajovic D.
Sonego L.
6-37-61
Hanfmann Y.
Giron M.
6-46-737-5
Navone M.
Borges N.
6-36-4
Vallejo A.
Dimitrov G.
6-46-4
Prizmic D.
Berrettini M.
6-36-4
Hurkacz H.
Faria J.
6-36-3
Tabilo A.
Royer V.
6-26-4
Walton A.
Landaluce M.
6-26-3
Munar J.
Shevchenko A.
6-46-1
Machac T.
Comesana F.
3-67-636-3
Cerundolo J.
Altmaier D.
6-46-4
Nava E.
Brooksby J.
6-37-5
Tsitsipas S.
Kypson P.
3-67-667-64
Damm M.
Popyrin A.
7-676-4
Ugo Carabelli C.
Monfils G.
6-36-4
Merida Aguilar D.
Trungelliti M.
6-41-67-66
Gaubas V.
Baez S.
7-56-1
Bonzi B.
Droguet T.
6-747-646-4