Alex De Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz — United Cup Quarter-final

United Cup · ATP · Quarter-final
Alex De Minaur
AUS4
Alex De Minaur
#6ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026
hard
Hubert Hurkacz
POL9
Hubert Hurkacz
#96ATP
1798ELO
1727Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
De Minaur A.
6-4 4-6 6-4
Hurkacz H.
De Minaur A.
6462
Hurkacz H.
4641

Alex De Minaur defeated Hubert Hurkacz 6-4 4-6 6-4 in the United Cup quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Alex De Minaur extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Alex De Minaur edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 4–6 6–4.

Head to head

2–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersR32hardAlex De Minaur6-4 6-0
2019-05-06Madrid MastersR64clayHubert Hurkacz6-3 6-4
2018-07-23AtlantaR32hardAlex De Minaur1-6 7-6(0) 7-6(5)
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Hurkacz H.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

De Minaur A.Hurkacz H.
48
Serve
67
80
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
De Minaur A.Hurkacz H.
1st serve in·Even
58%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
68%
Return points won·Even
39%
35%
Break points saved·Even
65%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.1
12.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
De Minaur A.Hurkacz H.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
95
78
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Dominant
97
40
Deciding sets·Even
97
94
Tiebreaks·Even
99
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
De Minaur A.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 57 days (−0.7)
Hurkacz H.
3.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 210 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
7.6+209 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.4Hard Elo 1727
7.1Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1798
10.0
H2H
0.0
4.7
Surface form
4.9
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Country comfort
5.3
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
De Minaur A.Hurkacz H.
Freshness·Slight edge
73
68

De Minaur A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 72 games (7d) · Hurkacz H.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 65%

Draw

Final
Hurkacz H.[9]
Wawrinka S.[16]
6-33-66-3
Semi-finals
Hurkacz H.[9]
Fritz T.[1]
7-617-62
Bergs Z.[7]
Wawrinka S.[16]
6-36-746-3
Quarter-finals
Bergs Z.[7]
Mensik J.[11]
6-27-64
Tsitsipas S.[12]
Fritz T.[1]
6-47-5
Baez S.[14]
Wawrinka S.[16]
7-56-4
De Minaur A.[4]
Hurkacz H.[9]
6-44-66-4
Round Robin
De Minaur A.[4]
Mensik J.[11]
6-46-1
Auger Aliassime F.[2]
Zhang Z.[18]
6-46-4
Baez S.[14]
Fritz T.[1]
4-67-56-4
Fritz T.[1]
Munar J.[10]
7-643-67-66
Zhang Z.[18]
Bergs Z.[7]
6-727-637-5
Hurkacz H.[9]
Zverev A.[6]
6-36-4
Tsitsipas S.[12]
Harris B.[5]
4-66-17-64
Harris B.[5]
Mochizuki S.[13]
7-646-3
Tsitsipas S.[12]
Mochizuki S.[13]
6-36-4
Rinderknech A.[8]
Cobolli F.[3]
6-747-657-5
Baez S.[14]
Munar J.[10]
6-46-4
Hurkacz H.[9]
Griekspoor T.[15]
6-37-64
Cobolli F.[3]
Wawrinka S.[16]
6-46-727-64
Wawrinka S.[16]
Rinderknech A.[8]
5-77-657-65
Mensik J.[11]
Ruud C.[17]
7-57-66
Ruud C.[17]
De Minaur A.[4]
6-36-3
Zverev A.[6]
Griekspoor T.[15]
7-56-0
Bergs Z.[7]
Auger Aliassime F.[2]
6-46-2