Tomas Machac vs Alex De Minaur — Vienna Round of 32
Why
Surface+106 Hard Elo edgeSupports De Minaur A.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1961Supports De Minaur A.
Recent run2-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Machac T.
This eventReached the semis here last yearSupports De Minaur A.
Travel7h west, 11d agoInformative
ELO1 963
Hard ELO1 828
Last 106–4
Age26
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $6.8M2026 $862K
ELO2 115
Hard ELO1 991
Last 108–2
Age27
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $25.8M2026 $3.0M
Tomas Machac faces Alex De Minaur in the Vienna round of 32 on hard. Alex De Minaur holds the paper edge — ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's semi-final.
Key context
- Freshness: Tomas Machac comes in with 2 days of rest and 128 games in 14d, vs Alex De Minaur's 11 and 39.
- Last match: Tomas Machac received a walkover from Fabian Marozsan.
- Head-to-head: Alex De Minaur leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on hard. Last met at Monte Carlo Masters 2025.
Common opponents
9 shared · last 12 monthsMachac T. and De Minaur A. faced 9 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Machac T. went 1–8 (11%) against them, De Minaur A. 7–8 (47%). De Minaur A. came out clearly better against 5 of 8 comparable opponents, Machac T. against 1.
1–811%Machac T. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents7–847%De Minaur A. · better vs 5
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
8–20Sets19–20
115–165Games202–199
4–3Tiebreaks3–3
0–4Deciding sets3–3
vs Sinner J.#1L1-6 7-6 3-6Monte Carlo Masters · clayL5-7 2-6Tour Finals · hard
vs Zverev A.#2L4-6 2-6 2-6Roland Garros · clayW2-6 7-6(5) 11-9Laver Cup - London · hard
vs Bublik A.#19L4-6 6-7(4)Shanghai Masters · hardW6-4 6-1 6-1Australian Open · hard
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vs Khachanov K.#25L2-6 6-4 6-7(7)Almaty · hardW6-3 6-4Shanghai Masters · hard- vs Musetti L.#26L7-5 4-6 2-6 7-5 2-6Australian Open · hardL5-7 6-3 5-7Tour Finals · hard
vs Tsitsipas S.#39W6-4 3-6 7-6 7-6Australian Open · hardL3-6 6-7Miami Masters · hard
vs Norrie C.#40L2-6 7-6 6-7Madrid Masters · clayW7-6 2-6 6-2Monte Carlo Masters · clay- vs Samuel T.#96L2-6 3-6 2-6US Open · hardW6-4 6-4 6-2Roland Garros · clay
- vs Cobolli F.#6Hard to compareL1-6 4-6Paris Masters · hardL5-7 6-7 3-6Wimbledon · grass
Head-to-head
1 meeting · De Minaur A. leads 1–001
- De Minaur A.April 2025Monte Carlo MastersClay3-6 6-0 6-3
Evidence
Machac T.De Minaur A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–48–2 (ahead)
Season win rate54% (21–18)67% (41–20) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO19632115 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO18281991 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 37 vs 60 matches
1st-serve points won68%71% (ahead)
Return points won37%40% (ahead)
Aces / match5.1 (ahead)4.2
ClutchLast 37 vs 60 matches
Break points saved58%67% (ahead)
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Tomas Machac vs Alex De Minaur — Vienna Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/machac-vs-minaur-vienna-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).