

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Alex De Minaur 7-5 3-6 7-5 in the Tour Finals round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6, defending last year's round-robin. Lorenzo Musetti extended the head-to-head to 4–1.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-23 | Madrid Masters | R16 | clay | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2025-04-07 | Monte Carlo Masters | SF | clay | Lorenzo Musetti | 1-6 6-4 7-6(4) |
| 2024-06-17 | Queen's Club | R32 | grass | Lorenzo Musetti | 1-6 6-4 6-2 |
| 2022-01-17 | Australian Open | R128 | hard | Alex De Minaur | 3-6 6-3 6-0 6-3 |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (80 vs 96). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
De Minaur A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About