Alex De Minaur vs Lorenzo Musetti — Australian Open Round of 128

Australian Open · ATP · Round of 128
Alex De Minaur
AUS32
Alex De Minaur
#5ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
3 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 January 2022
hard
Lorenzo Musetti
ITA
Lorenzo Musetti
#14ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
De Minaur A.
3-6 6-3 6-0 6-3
Musetti L.
De Minaur A.
36663
Musetti L.
63031

Alex De Minaur defeated Lorenzo Musetti 3-6 6-3 6-0 6-3 in the Australian Open round of 128 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #5, defending last year's round of 32. Alex De Minaur claimed a first win over Lorenzo Musetti in five meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–4
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-09Tour FinalsRRhardLorenzo Musetti7-5 3-6 7-5
2025-04-23Madrid MastersR16clayLorenzo Musetti6-4 6-2
2025-04-07Monte Carlo MastersSFclayLorenzo Musetti1-6 6-4 7-6(4)
2024-06-17Queen's ClubR32grassLorenzo Musetti1-6 6-4 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Serve advantage — De Minaur A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

De Minaur A.Musetti L.
48
Serve
54
80
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
De Minaur A.Musetti L.
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
41%
38%
Break points saved·Even
61%
60%
Aces / match·Even
4.2
4.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
De Minaur A.Musetti L.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
95
89
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Clear edge
97
82
Deciding sets·Even
97
99
Tiebreaks·Even
99
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
De Minaur A.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Musetti L.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+132 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1804
5.2Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1869
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.2
Surface form
3.8
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Minutes 14d
8.5
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
7.6
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
De Minaur A.Musetti L.
Freshness·
80
—

De Minaur A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 68%
Final
Nadal R.[6]
Medvedev D.[2]
2-66-756-46-47-5
Semi-finals
Medvedev D.[2]
Tsitsipas S.[4]
7-654-66-46-1
Nadal R.[6]
Berrettini M.[7]
6-36-23-66-3
Quarter-finals
Berrettini M.[7]
Monfils G.[17]
6-46-43-63-66-2
Nadal R.[6]
Shapovalov D.[14]
6-36-44-63-66-3
Tsitsipas S.[4]
Sinner J.[11]
6-36-46-2
Medvedev D.[2]
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
6-743-67-627-56-4
R16
Nadal R.[6]
Mannarino A.
7-6146-26-2
Monfils G.[17]
Kecmanovic M.
7-57-646-3
Berrettini M.[7]
Carreno Busta P.[19]
7-57-646-4
Shapovalov D.[14]
Zverev A.[3]
6-37-656-3
Sinner J.[11]
De Minaur A.[32]
7-636-36-4
Tsitsipas S.[4]
Fritz T.[20]
4-66-44-66-36-4
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Cilic M.[27]
2-67-676-27-64
Medvedev D.[2]
Cressy M.
6-27-646-747-5
R32
Carreno Busta P.[19]
Korda S.
6-47-56-766-3
Kecmanovic M.
Sonego L.[25]
6-46-786-27-5
Monfils G.[17]
Garin C.[16]
7-646-16-3
Berrettini M.[7]
Alcaraz C.[31]
6-27-634-62-67-65
Zverev A.[3]
Albot R.
6-36-46-4
Shapovalov D.[14]
Opelka R.[23]
7-644-66-36-4
Mannarino A.
Karatsev A.[18]
7-646-747-56-4
Nadal R.[6]
Khachanov K.[28]
6-36-23-66-1
De Minaur A.[32]
Andujar P.
6-46-46-2
Sinner J.[11]
Daniel T.
6-41-66-36-1
Fritz T.[20]
Bautista Agut R.[15]
6-03-63-66-46-3
Tsitsipas S.[4]
Paire B.
6-37-56-726-4
Cilic M.[27]
Rublev A.[5]
7-57-633-66-3
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Evans D.[24]
6-46-16-1
Cressy M.
Oconnell C.
6-26-766-36-2
Medvedev D.[2]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-46-46-2
R64
Evans D.[24]
Rinderknech A.
W/O
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Davidovich Fokina A.
7-646-747-657-64
Van De Zandschulp B.
Gasquet R.
4-66-04-0
Bautista Agut R.[15]
Kohlschreiber P.
6-16-06-3
Nadal R.[6]
Hanfmann Y.
6-26-36-4
Daniel T.
Murray A.
6-46-46-4
Paire B.
Dimitrov G.[26]
6-46-46-747-62
Khachanov K.[28]
Bonzi B.
6-46-07-5
Sonego L.[25]
Otte O.
2-66-26-36-1
Andujar P.
Molcan A.
6-47-660-66-1
Zverev A.[3]
Millman J.
6-46-46-0
Kecmanovic M.
Paul T.
7-677-57-68
Monfils G.[17]
Bublik A.
6-16-06-4
Garin C.[16]
Martinez P.
6-717-642-66-26-2
Korda S.
Moutet C.
3-66-46-727-57-66
Carreno Busta P.[19]
Griekspoor T.
6-36-767-633-66-4
Alcaraz C.[31]
Lajovic D.
6-26-17-5
Berrettini M.[7]
Kozlov S.
6-14-66-46-1
Albot R.
Vukic A.
6-47-646-4
Opelka R.[23]
Koepfer D.
6-46-37-64
Shapovalov D.[14]
Kwon S.
7-666-736-767-56-2
Mannarino A.
Hurkacz H.[10]
6-46-26-3
Karatsev A.[18]
Mcdonald M.
3-66-26-26-3
De Minaur A.[32]
Majchrzak K.
6-46-46-2
Sinner J.[11]
Johnson S.
6-26-46-3
Fritz T.[20]
Tiafoe F.
6-46-37-65
Tsitsipas S.[4]
Baez S.
7-616-756-36-4
Rublev A.[5]
Berankis R.
6-46-26-0
Cilic M.[27]
Gombos N.
6-26-33-67-66
Oconnell C.
Schwartzman D.[13]
7-666-46-4
Cressy M.
Machac T.
6-13-66-17-65
Medvedev D.[2]
Kyrgios N.
7-616-44-66-2
R128
Millman J.
Lopez F.
6-16-34-67-5
Johnson S.
Thompson J.
7-656-764-66-36-3
Kecmanovic M.
Caruso S.
6-46-26-1
Vukic A.
Harris L.[30]
4-66-37-57-63
Gombos N.
Skatov T.
6-36-21-66-4
Gasquet R.
Humbert U.[29]
3-67-647-636-3
Opelka R.[23]
Anderson K.
6-36-47-63
Martinez P.
Delbonis F.
7-6153-66-46-2
Majchrzak K.
Seppi A.
6-16-17-5
Paul T.
Kukushkin M.
6-36-46-2
Otte O.
Tseng C.
6-46-36-2
Sonego L.[25]
Querrey S.
7-56-36-3
Monfils G.[17]
Coria F.
6-16-16-3
Bublik A.
Escobedo E.
3-67-656-36-3
Garin C.[16]
Bagnis F.
6-36-45-76-746-3
Korda S.
Norrie C.[12]
6-36-06-4
Moutet C.
Pouille L.
3-66-36-46-3
Griekspoor T.
Fognini F.
6-16-46-4
Carreno Busta P.[19]
Etcheverry T.
6-16-27-62
Alcaraz C.[31]
Tabilo A.
6-26-26-3
Lajovic D.
Fucsovics M.
6-34-66-16-766-1
Kozlov S.
Vesely J.
7-56-36-4
Berrettini M.[7]
Nakashima B.
4-66-27-656-3
Zverev A.[3]
Altmaier D.
7-636-17-61
Albot R.
Nishioka Y.
6-36-44-66-2
Koepfer D.
Taberner C.
6-13-66-46-1
Kwon S.
Rune H.
3-66-43-66-36-2
Shapovalov D.[14]
Djere L.
7-636-43-67-63
Hurkacz H.[10]
Gerasimov E.
6-27-636-756-3
Mannarino A.
Duckworth J.
6-42-63-66-26-1
Mcdonald M.
Milojevic N.
5-76-46-36-2
Karatsev A.[18]
Munar J.
3-67-616-736-46-4
Khachanov K.[28]
Kudla D.
3-66-36-27-62
Bonzi B.
Gojowczyk P.
6-36-36-3
Hanfmann Y.
Kokkinakis T.
6-26-36-2
Nadal R.[6]
Giron M.
6-16-46-2
Molcan A.
Safiullin R.
6-37-695-77-66
Andujar P.
Dzumhur D.
6-17-56-1
De Minaur A.[32]
Musetti L.
3-66-36-06-3
Murray A.
Basilashvili N.[21]
6-13-66-46-756-4
Daniel T.
Barrios Vera T.
7-656-16-1
Sinner J.[11]
Sousa J.
6-47-56-1
Bautista Agut R.[15]
Travaglia S.
7-626-45-76-1
Kohlschreiber P.
Cecchinato M.
6-47-57-60
Tiafoe F.
Trungelliti M.
3-66-46-23-66-3
Fritz T.[20]
Marterer M.
7-686-36-2
Dimitrov G.[26]
Lehecka J.
6-44-66-37-5
Paire B.
Monteiro T.
6-43-67-52-67-5
Baez S.
Ramos A.
6-44-66-31-66-2
Tsitsipas S.[4]
Ymer M.
6-26-46-3
Rublev A.[5]
Mager G.
6-36-26-2
Berankis R.
Carballes Baena R.
6-13-62-66-36-4
Cilic M.[27]
Gomez E.
6-36-16-2
Evans D.[24]
Goffin D.
6-46-36-0
Rinderknech A.
Popyrin A.
7-54-66-23-66-3
Davidovich Fokina A.
Bolt A.
6-36-36-4
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Ruusuvuori E.
6-40-63-66-36-4
Schwartzman D.[13]
Krajinovic F.
6-36-47-5
Machac T.
Cerundolo J.
6-32-66-46-2
Van De Zandschulp B.
Struff J.
6-46-36-2
Kyrgios N.
Broady L.
6-46-46-3
Medvedev D.[2]
Laaksonen H.
6-16-47-63
Oconnell C.
Gaston H.
7-646-04-66-1
Cressy M.
Isner J.[22]
7-627-56-746-746-4