Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex De Minaur — Queen's Club Round of 32

Queen's Club · ATP · Round of 32
Lorenzo Musetti
ITA
Lorenzo Musetti
#15ATP
1869ELO
1750Grass ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 June 2024
grass
Alex De Minaur
AUS2
Alex De Minaur
#6ATP
1961ELO
1834Grass ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Musetti L.
1-6 6-4 6-2
De Minaur A.
Musetti L.
1662
De Minaur A.
6421

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Alex De Minaur 1-6 6-4 6-2 in the Queen's Club round of 32 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6, defending last year's final. Lorenzo Musetti extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

3–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-09Tour FinalsRRhardLorenzo Musetti7-5 3-6 7-5
2025-04-23Madrid MastersR16clayLorenzo Musetti6-4 6-2
2025-04-07Monte Carlo MastersSFclayLorenzo Musetti1-6 6-4 7-6(4)
2022-01-17Australian OpenR128hardAlex De Minaur3-6 6-3 6-0 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Musetti L.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

De Minaur A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Musetti L.De Minaur A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
56%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
41%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Even
4.0
4.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (155 vs 166). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Musetti L.De Minaur A.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
95
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Clear edge
82
97
Deciding sets·Even
99
97
Tiebreaks·Even
95
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Musetti L.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
De Minaur A.
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3Grass Elo 1750
Surface ELO
4.7+83 Grass Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1869
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1961
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.0
Surface form
8.3
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.7
Minutes 14d
6.2
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
5.7
Context
7.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Musetti L.De Minaur A.
Freshness·
—
77

De Minaur A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 48%
Final
Paul T.[5]
Musetti L.
6-17-68
Semi-finals
Paul T.[5]
Korda S.
6-47-62
Musetti L.
Thompson J.
6-33-66-3
Quarter-finals
Thompson J.
Fritz T.[4]
6-46-3
Musetti L.
Harris B.
6-37-5
Paul T.[5]
Draper J.
6-35-76-4
Korda S.
Hijikata R.
6-746-36-4
R16
Thompson J.
Murray A.
4-1
Draper J.
Alcaraz C.[1]
7-636-3
Paul T.[5]
Tabilo A.
6-36-4
Hijikata R.
Arnaldi M.
7-607-67
Harris B.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-47-5
Korda S.
Dimitrov G.[3]
6-43-67-5
Fritz T.[4]
Raonic M.
7-656-4
Musetti L.
Nakashima B.
6-44-66-4
R32
Draper J.
Navone M.
6-36-2
Paul T.[5]
Baez S.
6-46-4
Dimitrov G.[3]
Mannarino A.
6-16-2
Nakashima B.
Evans D.
4-66-30-0
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Shelton B.[6]
6-37-63
Harris B.
Etcheverry T.
6-43-66-3
Thompson J.
Rune H.[7]
4-67-646-3
Hijikata R.
Tiafoe F.
7-54-61-0
Murray A.
Popyrin A.
6-33-66-3
Alcaraz C.[1]
Cerundolo F.
6-17-5
Korda S.
Khachanov K.
7-57-65
Arnaldi M.
Humbert U.[8]
3-66-17-66
Raonic M.
Norrie C.
6-766-37-69
Fritz T.[4]
Daniel T.
6-36-3
Tabilo A.
Davidovich Fokina A.
7-663-66-1
Musetti L.
De Minaur A.[2]
1-66-46-2