Alex De Minaur vs Tomas MachacMonte Carlo Masters Round of 32

Monte Carlo Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#6ATP
1961ELO
1869Clay ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 April 2025
clay
#49ATP
1866ELO
1783Clay ELO
$832kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
De Minaur A.
3-6 6-0 6-3
Machac T.
De Minaur A.
3662
Machac T.
6031

Alex De Minaur defeated Tomas Machac 3-6 6-0 6-3 in the Monte Carlo Masters round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6, defending last year's quarter-final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Machac T.

Machac T.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Serve advantage — De Minaur A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

De Minaur A.Machac T.
Serve
13
39
Return
46

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
57%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
40%
37%
Break points saved·Even
64%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.0
6.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 56). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
95
90
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Clear edge
97
80
Deciding sets·Even
97
94
Tiebreaks·Even
99
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+86 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Clay Elo 1783
6.7Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1866
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.3
Surface form
5.5
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
77

De Minaur A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
15°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 46%