Flavio Cobolli vs Tomas MachacParis Masters Round of 64

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#10ATP
1896ELO
1810Hard ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 October 2025
hard
#49ATP
1866ELO
1829Hard ELO
$832kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
Cobolli F.
6-1 6-4
Machac T.
Cobolli F.
662
Machac T.
140

Flavio Cobolli defeated Tomas Machac 6-1 6-4 in the Paris Masters round of 64 on hard. Flavio Cobolli extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-20ViennaR32hardFlavio Cobolli7-6(6) 6-2
2024-12-27United CupQFhardTomas Machac6-1 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Cobolli F.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Machac T.

Machac T.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Cobolli F.Machac T.
20
Serve
30
35
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.1
6.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.3
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (84 vs 56). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
76
90
Break points saved·Even
96
98
Break points won·Dominant
35
80
Deciding sets·Even
98
94
Tiebreaks·Even
95
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1810
Surface ELO
5.2+20 Hard Elo edge
5.5Overall Elo 1896
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1866
3.9
H2H
6.1
4.0
Surface form
2.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.2
Minutes 14d
9.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
61

Cobolli F.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 63 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
13°CDrizzle
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 82%