Flavio Cobolli vs Tomas MachacVienna Round of 32

Vienna · ATP · Round of 32
#10ATP
1896ELO
1810Hard ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 October 2025
hard
#49ATP
1866ELO
1829Hard ELO
$832kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
Cobolli F.
7-6 6-2
Machac T.
Cobolli F.
7862
Machac T.
6620

Flavio Cobolli defeated Tomas Machac 7-6 6-2 in the Vienna round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Flavio Cobolli came in ranked #10, defending last year's round of 16. Flavio Cobolli extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-27Paris MastersR64hardFlavio Cobolli6-1 6-4
2024-12-27United CupQFhardTomas Machac6-1 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Cobolli F.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Machac T.

Machac T.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Cobolli F.Machac T.
20
Serve
30
35
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.0
5.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.3
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (84 vs 56). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
76
90
Break points saved·Even
96
98
Break points won·Dominant
35
80
Deciding sets·Even
98
94
Tiebreaks·Even
95
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1810
Surface ELO
5.2+20 Hard Elo edge
5.5Overall Elo 1896
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1866
0.0
H2H
10.0
3.9
Surface form
3.9
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.3
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
56

Cobolli F.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 111 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
10°CMainly clear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 61%