Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina — Cincinnati Quarter-final
POL7
KAZ2
Swiatek I.
Iga Swiatek advanced to the semifinals of the Cincinnati tournament with a quarterfinals win over Elena Rybakina after Rybakina retired trailing 4-1. At the time of Rybakina's retirement, Swiatek had converted 100% of her break points and secured one service break to Rybakina's none. Swiatek did not hit an ace but made one double fault, while Rybakina had one ace and one double fault.
Around the match
“It's always nice to hear that. Usually after a tournament I like to look at the numbers, but during I'm just focused on the next match — it doesn't matter if it's a quarterfinal or a second round, I treat every match the same way.”
Swiatek I.WTA Tennis ↗“I think how I adjusted to the slices and how I got them back. There weren't many situations where I felt out of rhythm while playing them, which is not easy because she has a good slice.”
Swiatek I.WTA Tennis ↗“I think that my serve worked and helped me quite a lot this match because I didn't start too good, and I feel the serve did the job. Altogether — the toss, push with the legs, rotation — just all together.”
Rybakina E.WTA Tennis ↗
Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.
Head to head
8–7| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Toronto | F | hard | Iga Swiatek | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | QF | hard | Elena Rybakina | 7-5 6-1 |
| 2025-11-03 | WTA Finals | RR | hard | Elena Rybakina | 3-6 6-1 6-0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Riyadh Finals | RR | hard | Elena Rybakina | 3-6 6-1 6-0 |
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati | SF | hard | Iga Swiatek | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | R16 | clay | Iga Swiatek | 1-6 6-3 7-5 |
| 2025-02-09 | Doha | QF | hard | Iga Swiatek | 6-2 7-5 |
| 2025-01-04 | United Cup | SF | hard | Iga Swiatek | 7-6(5) 6-4 |
| 2024-12-27 | United Cup | SF | hard | Iga Swiatek | 7-6 6-4 |
| 2024-04-15 | Stuttgart | SF | clay | Elena Rybakina | 6-3 4-6 6-3 |
| 2024-02-12 | Doha | F | hard | Iga Swiatek | 7-6 6-2 |
| 2023-05-08 | Rome | QF | clay | Elena Rybakina | 2-6 7-6 2-2 |
| 2023-03-06 | Indian Wells | SF | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2023-01-16 | Australian Open | R16 | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2021-09-20 | Ostrava | QF | hard | Iga Swiatek | 7-6 6-2 |
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Rybakina E. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadSwiatek I.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 62 games (7d) · Rybakina E.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 67 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About