Diana Shnaider vs Elena RybakinaCincinnati Round of 16

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 16
#14WTA
1891ELO
1833Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$6.3MCAREER
22 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WWLWWWLWWL
·
Sets
Live
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 3 · 3rd on
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWWWWLW
Shnaider D.
2-1
Rybakina E.

Key context

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
82
98
Break points saved·Dominant
63
96
Break points won·Even
98
96
Deciding sets·Slight edge
89
98
Tiebreaks·Even
88
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 60%

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.5Hard Elo 1833
Surface ELO
8.5+277 Hard Elo edge
2.1Overall Elo 1891
ELO gap
7.9Overall Elo 2122
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
7.98 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.89 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
64%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.3
6.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.6
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
56

Shnaider D.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d) · Rybakina E.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Diana Shnaider faces Elena Rybakina in the Cincinnati round of 16 on hard. Elena Rybakina holds the paper edge — ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 280-point hard Elo advantage.

Around the match

  • It was a crazy day, to be honest, coming out every time into clouds and humidity. I was on top of the ball in the tie-break but it was a difficult one. I had the opportunities on the three match points but when you are tired it's difficult to keep concentration.

  • I was very frustrated with myself because I had a couple of opportunities, break points, and then I missed those. My team told me it's just one break, you can still win those games.

    Shnaider D.WTA Tennis
  • I didn't dream about it when I was a kid. I didn't even know that I was going to be professional, so it was not in my head. Right now, I'm also trying not to think about it because there is still a lot of tournament ahead, still a lot of players who can do well. For me, it's important just to be in the present and try to stay focused.

    Rybakina E.Cincinnati Open

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-13StuttgartR16clayElena Rybakina6-3 6-4

Draw